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Sunday
November 1st 2020 I spent the morning catching up on the diary and other things. I had let it lapse a bit. We are on the new clock now so I have to go around and change them all.
Okay. Here is what drives me crazy. It is a study of one cluster and it appears that the writer starts with expectations and works from there. As a stand alone, one-off observation, it's interesting and supports what people tend to believe but there is simply not enough data to support the generalizations made in the article. That is what I hate about "journalism" these days. The kids just have never been trained in critical thinking. Researchers show extent of COVID-19 spread in a grocery store I was going to quote much of the article, but realised that deconstructing the assumptions is a tar-baby. In site of the article headline, the study does not appear to be a study of spread, but merely a study of incidence. The conclusions are merely inferences. This study is interesting, but when considered in light of the uniqueness and small size of the sample--and the probability of error, is just a story. Just the same, it could be worthwhile if replicated, and could offer some guidance, but as it stands, it is anecdotal, not scientific. There are many problems with the underlying implied assumptions. The age and demographic age and social profile of cashiers and the front persons is quite different from the back-end folks. There are day and night shifts in the stores. Add to that the fact that some of these people may cluster and even live together and the small number of infections becomes problematic. Was this study continued elsewhere to confirm the conclusions? If so, why are we not hearing the results of profiling the other store(s) that need to be examined and compared if this were to be meaningful? I see CTV picked up on this uncritically, They say:
It is one small study, un-replicated, and which raises many questions, but is reported without caveats. Here is the important (and slightly amusing) part and what I would love to believe because it confirms my biases:
It would be easy for me to believe that, but I suspect all these measures have to have some effect, even if the protection is slight and un-worthwhile economically. * * * * * * The day warmed to twenty with a light breeze, perfect for walking so Katrina and I went for a walk to see the horses. It happened though that they were far down the pasture and visiting at the fence with some new horses in a far pasture. They looked at us but did not trot over as usual, so she was unable to give them the sugar cubes she had brought. I sometimes wonder what horses are thinking. Obviously they do think. After supper, I watched YouTube and was in bed around ten.
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Monday
November 2nd 2020 I'm up at five. Internet was on for a while and is off again now. This started Saturday and has just gotten worse. I've called Airenet a number of times and there is no response. My weight is suddenly up and my morning blood glucose suddenly became high recently. I am experiencing some rheumatism and that can be related to diet. I have been quite careless lately. I was under the weather for some time in the past months and maybe something has taken hold of me. Viruses are know to alter metabolism, sometimes permanently. I'm going to watch what I put in my mouth more carefully and be more active and see if that helps.
I'm feeling better generally now and have three weeks until I am scheduled to go south, so I have some work to do here. I began by tidying the studio a bit to clear a path for the techs when they come to fix the Internet. That job has needed doing for a long time. The techs came and switched receivers and that seems to have the Internet problem solved.
Vonnegut's Dark Vision Arrived 60 Years Early... After lunch, I walked around town, then went downstairs and began on the shop cleanup. I did some other odds and ends, too, then resumed the job after supper. Quote of the Day
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Tuesday
November 3rd 2020 I woke at 0333, dozed a while and got up at 0433. I was up for a while, had breakfast, and went back to bed at 0530. My weight has dropped again by two pounds and my blood glucose is more in my normal range. I am feeling pretty much normal, but do have a few joint pains. At 0500, it was still seventeen degrees out, which is almost room temperature. Not bad for early November.
It suddenly feels as if there is a shift in the wind. I feel a sea change underway and I'm having to reconsider my plans. I am realising that the idea that we are living a simulation makes a lot of sense.
I have gone to Jon's for Thanksgiving every year for twenty years except one, the year that Ellen was diagnosed. This year I am finding need to go to the West Coast to deal with boats and also half-promised to go to Sudbury for Christmas. Canada is calling. I also have a Lake Louise discount card to use and a granddaughter visiting. If I go to Aliso Viejo, my plan was to go from there onward to La Paz. That would be easy, but on return to Canada for Christmas I am looking at at least a week of quarantine and maybe two and that makes coming back impractical. So, now I am thinking to fly to BC for a week or ten days, then come back and fly to Toronto for Christmas. From there? Maybe La Paz.
We're getting smarter.
The question remains, is a positive detection indicating a developing infection or simply the evidence of a past infection? In the former case, there is concern. In the latter, none. It appears that at least two samples must be taken days apart to deduce trend. Actually rigour demands three. Carolyn and I went for a walk, but first we walked here from her place to get some Transderm for her nausea. Next, rwe walked to the mailboxes and back.
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home weather station data online I had breakfast and chatted with Katrina a while, then got down to work. I'm cutting down on web hosing work and that has taken a bit of hand-holding. We have another unexpectedly beautiful day. I notice
www.albertabeekeepers.com is up for renewal soon and since I have
lost interest, I put it up for sale. Right off the bat, I got some pretty
strong interest and some decent money offered. I'll auction it
and give the process a week or so. I gave C some Transderm yesterday a for her nausea and she is good today. We did the whole one-mile walk around the edge of town. I returned home and did not much of anything except make supper. after, I had a Zoom meeting for the Broughtons Archipelago sailing trip planned for nest year but no one showed up and I went to bed early. For some reason I was beat. Quote of the Day
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Thursday
November 5th 2020 I was up early and spent two hours on email and Process Explorer. I was installing the latest version, which is bit of a puzzle. It all started when I saw a lot of data being downloaded to my second computer and began to wonder what was going on. I checked and there were updates for PE, so i downloaded it and then got to work.
I drive to CrossIron Costco this morning to get my new hearing aids. That should be interesting. The new aids are interesting and maybe the difference is not as miraculous as one might think, but they do improve my hearing--and I can listen to Audible and Spotify on my phone or have phone conversations without taking my phone out of my pocket. Driving in a vehicle is quieter and I can hear the car radio clearly on the highway which had become difficult. After getting fitted, I wandered around Costco, and made a phone call or two, apparently talking to myself as I shopped. On the way home, I listened to AM radio, then Audible. Had I had been listening on earphones, I might have been stopped by police, but hearing aids are invisible and also unregulated. I arrived home and continued listening as I brought in groceries. Katrina said, "Hi", and realised I cannot hear people talking to me when listening. Hmmm. I had invited friends for supper, so made the meal: scalped potatoes, roasted chicken thighs, and broccoli, cauliflower and rutabaga. C had had an episode in the afternoon and had become very distraught when she learned her phone was not working during the afternoon and had managed to call her daughter on the cell phone which she activated but had refused to learn. Her daughter calmed her down and dropped her off here in time for supper. She was still upset, but calmed down after a while. Katrina left the party early as she had an exam to write online. The party was fun, as usual, but I called it a night earlier than sometimes as I had an ultrasound in Drum early Friday. Quote of the Day
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Friday
November 6th 2020 I was up early and drove to Drumheller for the ultrasound at eight, After that, I did some shopping. First, I bought a second bathroom scale seeing as I have begun to doubt the one I have, then went to Walmart. From Walmart I went to Friesens seeing as Walmart has no produce in Drum. I stopped at the Co-op centre and found that the Co-op grocery store has closed. At Friesens I noticed that although the produce is reasonable, some other items are twice the price at Walmart. I retuned home at noon and did nothing much for the rest of the day. I compared the bathroom scales and they agree: I have put on a lot of weight in the past several weeks. I'd noticed my summer shorts seem tight the other day, but assumed they had shrunk in the wash, but nope. I have expanded. We watched Kim's Convenience after supper. Quote of the Day
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Saturday November 7th 2020 The Narrative Problem After Peak Oil Quote of the Day
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Sunday
November 8th 2020
This stag has been sleeping outside my south windows. Katrina thinks this is really exciting. The snow accumulated overnight and the winds were blowing hard. The weather station is still down low and in the lee of the schoolhouse, and did not record the wind. This has been another 'wasted' day and I am still at the keyboard in my gown. I'm thinking I have to get going. The dull, windy weather has de-motivated me, though. The instinct is to hibernate.
Where do you stand on The Political Compass? 
I made a meatless chili, my normal food when living alone. I have been cooking for two lately, but it seems Katrina likes the chili, too, so that simplifies meals. Quote of the Day
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Monday
November 9th 2020 I woke at 3:33 and realised I had turned off the furnace last night. It was 13 degrees in here. I went down and put it back in gear.
Time flies. I was under the weather for a while. My blood sugar was high and my weight went up, but I see the weight is dropping a bit now. My ankle was acting up and I was generally achy and I was tired and sleeping poorly, but I seem better now. Today is a beautiful, sunny day so I am more inspired to get to work. I need to finish the oil change I began on Friday and to shovel the ashes, plus install the new furnace. Dawn phoned and is stressed over Larry's death. We chatted for twenty minutes.
Instead of going down to the shop,, I did some space clearing in the living room and cut down the big old rubber tree which was getting really leggy and woody. I cut it up to deal with it and got enough cuttings to start another twenty decent rubber threes if I want. I don't want. Quote of the Day
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I've
been spending too much time on this diary and browsing and have stepped
back a bit.
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