May 2020

 

 

 

Previous Page | Next Page
Looking north along the dock at Marina de La Paz

 

 Are you are looking for bee information?

I'm losing interest in bees lately and bee-related posts are infrequent these days but at one time I was very involved in beekeeping. Just about every topic has been covered somewhere on this site some time or another. Your best bets for finding ideas are:

 1.) check today's date in previous years     2.) visit the selected topics page
 3.)
search this site for keywords.
              4.) visit BEE-L

 

 

 

Sunday May 10th 2020

Today Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of flurries early this morning. High 10. UV index 5 or moderate.
Tonight Clearing this evening. Low minus 1.

I woke at four-thirty and even with only four and a half hours of sleep was wide awake, so got up and had breakfast.

After a while, I went back to sleep for an hour and rose at daybreak.

Conrad Black: Fear of COVID-19 is overblown, it's time to get the economy moving again

"The danger of death for 80 per cent of people is not statistically significant, and there is no excuse for continuing any substantial part of the lockdown in respect of them"

"The whole anti-coronavirus effort has suffered from mission creep: at the outset, it was designed to prevent a devastation that would re-enact the great London plague of the mid-17th century.

The Imperial College in London predicted, a bit cavalierly, about 2.2 million dead in the United States, about two-thirds of one per cent of the entire population. "

*   *   *   *   *   *

How COVID-19's impact on children is threatening the world's pandemic recovery

*   *   *   *   *   *

'Sacrificed in the name of COVID patients': Tens of thousands affected by surgery cancellations

Almost 200,000 surgeries and other procedures were shelved indefinitely, as hospitals braced for a deluge that never quite materialized

*   *   *   *   *   *

NP View on Elizabeth May and Yves-François Blanchet: Oil is dead, long live the oilpatch!

With few exceptions, our Federal leaders are an embarrassment and disappointment. 

*   *   *   *   *   *

Bubble-Wrapped Americans: How the U.S. Became Obsessed with Physical and Emotional Safety

*   *   *   *   *   *

Truth is where you find it and no particular person has a corner on facts or understanding.  Some people get hardly anything right and some get much more right, and often it is hard to know, so people tend to associate truth with some people and falsehood with others. That is easy, but it is a mistake.

Consider, also, that people who are very experienced and educated in some specific area may be dangerously ignorant in many others, but carry their reputation and credibility outside their sphere of understanding.

A good example is actors.  Their specialty is pretending to be, say, a doctor, or scientist on TV following a script written by someone else.  Does that make them a doctor, or scientist or someone whose opinion is more valuable than, say an actual doctor, or a scientist, or the 'man on the street'? People seem to think so.

And rock stars who specialize in making noise, traveling from city to city, getting stoned, banging groupies, and wrecking hotel rooms: are they experts on environment?  And, Bill Gates who made his fortune buying products, combining them and out-marketing superior but less well promoted products: is he a health expert?  Maybe.  But, just maybe.

And our health experts, are they experts in economics, sociology, and governing?  Apparently not.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Enough of that for now.  I have to go play with the toilet.

   

*   *   *   *   *   *

I called Mom and then cooked some cabbage. 

Next I'll mount the outboard.  I'm still working myself up to the toilet job.

Sweden unlikely to feel economic benefit of no-lockdown approach

*   *   *   *   *   *

Epidemics and resilience
How the Algonquin have faced
nearly 200 years of disease outbreaks and survived.
Amazing story!

*   *   *   *   *   *

Joe Rogan Experience #1470
Elon Musk
Two hours well wasted.
(Listen, don't watch)

*   *   *   *   *   *

Joe Rogan Experience #1368
 Edward Snowden

This is good.

*   *   *   *   *   *

On Trump, Mainstream Media, and Revolution
 Tucker Carlson | MEDIA | Rubin Report

Very good discussion.
If you don't listen to anything else, start here and listen for five minutes.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Want To Be More Like Sweden?
What If We Already Are?

*   *   *   *   *   *

Quote of the Day
From the saintly and single-minded idealist to the fanatic
is often but a step.
Friedrich A. von Hayek

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Monday May 11th 2020

Today Sunny. Wind up to 15 km/h. High 11. Wind chill minus 8 this morning. UV index 7 or high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. Low plus 1.

I woke at four, feeling great and feeling thankful. I lay there a while, listening to boat sounds, thinking, then got up and went up to the cockpit and sat a while in the bright moonlight.  Conditions were calm with only a slight swell.

After a while, I went back to bed and dozed until seven-thirty. By then the sun was up and the wind was picking up.  I sat in the cockpit a while, then went below for net and breakfast.

*   *   *   *   *   *

I hope I am getting over following this covid-1984 trainwreck. It's crazy. I have to find something else to entertain me.

Everyone has now forgotten the reason for the lockdowns was not to prevent everyone from getting covid-1984, but to avoid everyone getting it at once, gaining time to learn, and to isolate (only) the most vulnerable indefinitely.

There are widespread hopes for a vaccine or 'herd immunity', but these hopes are just that, hopes. They are uncertain and we cannot stay locked down forever.  Fact is, we don't have vaccines for many common diseases and corona viruses are apparently a difficult target.

We may just have to bite the bullet and take our losses.

While an early contagion can expand exponentially, pandemics tend to run down over time for various reasons.  For one thing, they soon run out of low hanging fruit. The most susceptible people get it first, then the more resistant are left, making infection more difficult.

Pathogens also generally tend to become weaker as they spread out and mutate since the weaker mutations spread farther and faster without detection and immunize their victims whereas the worst strains simply kill the host and terminate then and there.

By that reasoning, one would expect to find the deadliest forms in hospitals and the more benign versions on the streets. Makes sense.

Assuming about of even a weak strain gives immunity, the principle behind many vaccines, eventually the disease runs out of potential victims after a while and cases become less common.

It is just another example of diminishing returns, the same principle that kills chain letters and Ponzi schemes.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Mobile Phone Activity From Wuhan Lab Suggests 'Possible Shutdown' In October Due To 'Hazardous Event'
Just another confirmation of the rumours

All the early rumours reported here are proving true, of course. The MSM seems the last to know and are inclined to ignore, exaggerate and distort anything that does not fit neatly into their predetermined narrative.

*   *   *   *   *   *

My friend Dr. Jerry Bromenskenk said after the news came out that he had trained bees to find landmines for DARPA, The National Enquirer was the only news organization to get the story right. That is a sad commentary on our news media these days.

Jerry and I were talking about going to Indochina to put it into practice, but that never happened.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Check this out: NBC Apologizes For Chuck Todd's Propaganda Edit.

Shocking yellow journalism and I'm bet he gets off scot-free and with a pat on the back.  Not even a blush.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Does nicotine combat COVID-19? French scientists to test theory as data shows pattern

*   *   *   *   *   *

I received my FACS newsletter today and decided to get involved, recommending using Zoom and promoting the forum. We'll see how that goes.

*   *   *   *   *   *

The cringe-inducing Prime Minister

*   *   *   *   *   *

The race for coronavirus vaccines: a graphical guide

*   *   *   *   *   *

Well, I fully disassembled the toilet pump and reassembled it and it still works the same so there must be blockage in the outlet line.  It was n instructive exercise, though.

*   *   *   *   *   *

FOURTH TURNING ACCELERATING TOWARDS CLIMAX
Long but worth reading.
it is happening.

Best to be aware.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Somehow, I was busy all day.  The toilet is no better, but now I think I know what needs to be done next.  I'll remove and clear the discharge line.  I should have done that long ago. I had somehow assumed the job would be hard, but on closer examination it appears to be quite simple

*   *   *   *   *   *

I tried to get logged onto FB with no luck since my Telcel number seems to be not working, called Bill on Skype and we played with ham radio.  He could barely hear me on 7208.0 MHz on 40 meters. I could not hear him.  We did video on Skype, so I saw his new sunroom and he got to see Bahia Falsa in a panorama sweep around my boat.

I watched YouTube videos, made porridge and went to bed at nine.

 Quote of the Day
History never repeats itself.
Man always does.
Voltaire

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Tuesday May 12th 2020

Today Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers early this morning. Wind southeast 20 km/h. High 13. UV index 6 or high.
Tonight Cloudy. Clearing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 3. Wind chill minus 5 overnight.

I woke at five. Sunrise was still over an hour away, but the waning moon was bright. I sat in the cockpit a while, watching the dawn break, drank cold coffee and went back to bed. Even after eight hours sleep I was groggy and also a bit stuffy.

I ate some oatmeal right before bed last night and wonder if oatmeal does not agree with me. Oatmeal is supposed to be super food, but I have learned that what the 'experts' recommend does not always suit me.  Foods that are supposed to be low-glycemic, for example, sometimes are the opposite for me and others, like spaghetti, are very low.

I got up again just before seven and the sun was just rising over the hills to the east.  I made fresh coffee and had a sponge bath and started the day.

My first job is the toilet discharge hose.  I'm assuming it is obstructed.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Colin sent me a picture a while ago of his family flying from YYZ to YVR. Seems they had to wear costumes (left).

*   *   *   *   *   *

I had a Zoom meeting with Mom and Mich, made a stew, then got to work on the toilet.  I pulled off the discharge hose and at the toilet end it looks fine.

I took a break, had lunch and studied up on using Zoom, then resumed the job.

*   *   *   *   *   *

I received an email suggestion about the toilet problem that would apply in a house, but this system is very different.

This system is basically atmospheric.  There are a macerator and pump right at the toilet base.  They simply suck the contents out the bottom, mash them, and expel them up over a vacuum break loop and out a through-hull.  Very simple.

I rebuilt the pump and that did not fix the issue, so I assumed the discharge was blocked and pulled the discharge off but it seems clear, so there must be some way air is getting into the pump and keeping it from sucking.  I'll have to take a closer look at the gaskets in the pump and I'll change the hoses anyhow as they are looking old and old hoses get stinky.

     
The pump      The discharge hose         The through-hull             

Before I take the pump apart again, though, I'll hook up a hose and fill the bowl with water and flush to see how much power the pump has. I did a small test with just a  few fingers over the port as well as I could manage and it seems strong. With a hose on, I can give it a real test.

Oh, I just realised maybe what the little bleeder hole I blocked months ago is for.  Maybe the pump gets air-locked after flushing the bowl dry?

I had blocked that bleeder because brown water was being pulled into the intake and re-circulating. Maybe my guess was wrong and the intake is restricted, not the discharge. If that is it, I'll unblock it and just restrict it.

It is a puzzle, wrapped in a riddle, and I am having fun, slowly.

*   *   *   *   *   *

East tropical Pacific ocean starts to cool, initiating a cold ENSO phase!

The hurricane season is starting and La Nina is expected but so far, good news.

I had thought to go to town today, but found I am happy here.

I'm running low on fresh food, but have lots of the staples.

*   *   *   *   *   *

A small navy boat came to the bay with a bullhorn repeating some virus message in Mexican and left.  They did not stop. 

I'm guessing that they are kids out on an official mission in a nice boat on a beautiful day.

It is a beautiful job, cruising around all day, except for the noisy bullhorn driving them crazy no doubt.  Beats polishing brass.

I doubt they want to ruin the afternoon by trying to talk to some stubborn uncomprehending gringos who are bothering no one, anymore than any of us want to talk to them.

*   *   *   *   *   *

The Way of the Tao Is Reversal

*   *   *   *   *   *

How The World's Most Powerful And Influential People See The World After The Pandemic

Most of the comments are no better than we would get from any random man on the street, but several are particularly insightful and sobering. In particular...

James Galbraith: Professor of government at the University of Texas:

There will be a vast tangle of unpaid debts that cannot be cleared, and—what is different from 2008 and 2009—the model of foreclosures, evictions, and repossessions to deal with them is going to be absolutely unacceptable. People sheltering at home without income are in no way responsible for their circumstances and will refuse to accept the terms of those contracts. So the contracts will have to be suspended, and the debts cleared away, or there will be a confrontation on a vast scale. This is similar to the farm foreclosure confrontations of the 1890s and 1930s in this country, but on a much larger scale, and in many cases urban and suburban. The right model is that of the treatment of inter-allied war debts after World War II: They were canceled, because dealing with the common enemy was a common effort. So the whole financial system will have to be reset. This is not an ideological point but a practical necessity for reestablishing a functioning economic system.

*   *   *   *   *   *


Out Of Touch | Kevin James Short Film
This about sums things up some places
Click to watch

 Quote of the Day
I am a firm believer in the people.
If given the truth, they can be depended upon to meet any national crisis.
 The great point is to bring them the real facts.
Abraham Lincoln

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Wednesday May 13th 2020

Today Mainly sunny. Wind up to 15 km/h. High 16. Wind chill minus 5 this morning. UV index 7 or high.
Tonight Clear. Low minus 2.

I awoke at dawn and got up. I'm out of eggs, but ate some of my stew.

I notice that this spaghetti, rice and bean diet of convenience seems to be having a good effect on my blood sugar.

Having been out of beer for a week probably doesn't hurt either.

Jose writes...

Hey Allen,

Still watching this crazy thing and the societal reaction with increasing levels of disbelief. It is as if the majority of people have been driven to focus on the extremes. Everyone is now aware that there are ventilators, ICUs, very sick people and that people die in hospitals. Also aware that there are viruses out there that can kill people. And the drama appears to be playing 24/7 the way the majority are in this hyper anxious mode. I have decided not to bring up my views on the virus to most people because it produces this knee jerk overreaction.

Lost in the mania are nuanced understandings of the dynamics of disease and the complexities of immunology. There seems to be the notion that one viral particle that gets into one's nose will likely lead to infection. Hence the obsession with the masks. As if a healthy immune system weren't the best protection. Wasn't there a good interview of some specialists in England about what is known about viral dosage, the level of reaction by immediate players of the immune system, and how they start working right away on any viral replication in cells? I have heard that the infections of medical people in ICUs are so high because of the high viral loads they are exposed to when dealing with very sick patients, despite the PPEs.

At the other extreme of risk, have you seen any info on the infectivity of asymptomatic people? I would think if they are asymptomatic, then their bodies are dealing with the viral challenge pretty effectively and therefore not shedding high dosages of viruses. And the PCR test can be so sensitive that it actually theoretically can replicate a few strands of the viral RNA to get a "positive". Wonder whether they ever report for the tests any of those nuances. If I remember correctly, there is a term called Ct value, which determines how many cycles of viral replication (by heating and cooling the soup of bases and primers with the test sample) it took to get to the inflection point of the curve. It seems logical, and would be good to have documentation on this situation with asymptomatics to bolster the notion that this needs to be allowed to play out in some logical fashion.

Bees are finally bouncing back a bit from a long winter- finding good amounts of tree pollen and in irrigated areas some good dandelion.

Take care,

Jose

I agree.  It seems that all subtlety is lost and it seems the majority of people are black-and-white thinkers and believe whatever they hear, the worse, the better. People love bogeymen and horror shows and this sleuth killer hiding in plain sight everywhere all the time is perfect. 

We have seen honey bee hoaxes that run on forever because the stories fit what people want to believe and because everyone makes money or reputation on paying lip service to the fable or has disincentives to expose it.

There are many examples. The Emperor's New Clothes comes to mind, so this revelation is nothing new.

Our legislators and media face a serious Moral Hazard

Empty Virtue-signaling actions and words gain them reputation with the masses and the costs to them, right or wrong, are minimal compared to the burdens they are placing on the people who trust them. 

They still get paid and walk and drive around freely while the masses are restricted.  They risk little or nothing when compared to the costs they are placing on society by their costly actions--and they even tend to gain.

It is win/win for them. Heads they win, tails we lose.

"The dose makes the poison".  I have known that all along.  Some minor exposure to this virus should be a good thing as long as it does not overpower one's defensives.

I suspect that the reason health workers go down is the massive doses they experience, especially intubating desperate cases, as well as being exposed to all the various mutations that are going by.

Health workers must occasionally encounter the most lethal mutations while attempting to prolong the life of a hopeless victim--mutations so lethal that will terminate on killing the host.

Trigger alert. Skip the next five paragraphs if you are stupid or insist on denying reality.

Our good intentions in trying to save the hopeless may, in addition to tying up and wasting scarce resources, be costing us our front line workers and also frightening the rest of us.

Sometimes "Let the devil take the hindmost" is best policy for the herd.

One of the reasons our 'free' public health is failing is the fact that 80%(+) of the resources are spent on the 20%(-) that are basically hopeless. Apparently in the desire to keep everyone alive forever, even those who wish to die are kept alive and against their wishes.

A family member who shot himself in the gut with a shotgun but survived and told the hospital not to save him was rushed in and kept alive for a week or so at great expense. Meantime others were on long waiting lists for those resources.

Old folks with DNRs and have even applied for medically assisted death are resuscitated and kept on machines if they have an 'event'.

Look. If I am going down and saving me compromises you, let me go. I may curse and swear or look pathetic, but at that point, you have to take care of number one and in case you don't know, that is you.

*   *   *   *   *   *

As for the others who are hospitalized, I deduce that those who somehow picked up more than casual small amounts of the virus, acquired several mutations at once, have weak immune systems, or have inherited a freak genetic susceptibility, likely account for most cases.

Outliers, or the tail of the distribution.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Oddly, the authorities have banned many activities that build immunity and are likely to expose people to subclinical amounts, like hikes and runs and generally being outdoors in the sun and fresh air. Instead they have mandated staying indoors where often the air is less than ideal away from the healthy effects on mind and body of being outdoors.

*   *   *   *   *   *

As for infectivity of asymptomatic folks, I have not see anything quantitative. There is talk of people 'shedding' virus several days before showing symptoms.

Does a high viral load or infectious dose make covid-19 worse?

This article is very good and answers many of our questions but not definitively.

"...It is early days, but if the initial amount of virus a person is infected by doesn’t correlate with the severity of disease symptoms, this would mark covid-19 out as different from influenza, MERS and SARS."
 

Also there is this...

"Scientists in Singapore suggest that risk is especially high in the 24-48 hours before an infected person is even aware they might have the disease."

There seems to be a lot of assuming, guessing, extrapolation, and application of the precautionary principle by timid 'leaders'.

*   *   *   *   *   *

As for PCR, I have wondered the same.  Too many amplification cycles can yield results that are questionable and hide the tiny original concentration in the sample.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Size matters.  But people seem to think that one single lucky viron can kill a person?  Really?

IMO, the reason health care workers are killed may be in how many mutations of the virus infect them at one time. Health workers are likely to be infected by several different versions at once as well as being more likely to be exposed to freak lethal ephemeral mutations.

Have not had time to read through all the results, but there may be more answers here.

Again, from media and politicians, we get only generalities and "Trust Us We're (they're) the Experts",  and black and white choices.

If you want insight and truth you have to go off the main road and bushwhack a bit.

*   *   *   *   *

No bees here lately, but some really interesting wasps come visiting.

*   *   *   *   *

Excess deaths? Not in Canada during pandemic's early days, StatCan says

"The agency found that between Jan. 1 and March 31, the eight provinces and one territory included in the data actually saw 1,145 fewer deaths than expected."

Really??? We are in prison for what?

*   *   *   *   *

I decided I am going back to town today, as much for something to do as anything, but if I'm going to put the toilet back together, I'll need new hose.

I called and nobody has hose in stock, but I'm going anyhow.

My first guess about the toilet prove correct.  The pipe was blocked, but the blockage was around a corner, out of sight.

Yesterday I had banged the hose around but nothing came out, so I laid it on the foredeck in the sun, hoping it would straighten in the heat so I could look through to check for blockage.

This morning I picked up he hose, flexed it a little, then suddenly a lot of scale fell out the end.  It had been blocked and some of the debris was loose enough, I'm guessing, that sometimes a chunk slid back and allowed the toilet to be normal, then sometimes the chunk moved up to the elbow restriction, and turned enough to block the stream.

 

Anyhow, I'll take a hammer to the hose to break any remaining scale loose, then put things back together and pray.  I'll try to clean the hose, too because the outside looks awful.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Surviving the CLICHE-19 pandemic

*   *   *   *   *   *

Well, that was it. The toilet works now!

*   *   *   *   *   *

The Worldwide Lockdown May Be The Greatest Policy Mistake In History
Let them eat cake?

*   *   *   *   *   *

I puttered around until the day cooled a bit at six, then rode Uber to Chedraui.

Things have changed there.  They insisted on checking my backpack at the entry and were checking cash register slips at the exit the way Costco does.

I was not really into shopping and found I was tired and a bit depressed, so I just bought the obvious items and figured to return. As it was, I had a big enough load to carry to the boat.

Back at the boat, I put away groceries and connected to the Vancouver Bluewater Zoom meeting.  Rick Reynolds was the guest speaker.  Rick is a Calgary member and we were in the Calgary watchkeepers group together a few years back.

Rick's presentation is a slide show of the building of his 46-foot sailboat over six years and almost ten thousand hours.  I hate to think how much money he spent.

Why he did that when you can buy a perfectly good boat for half the cost and a small investment of time is a mystery to me, but he was retired and needed  a project. His wife was totally on board all the way, at least in the presentation. (If truly so, I wonder if she has a sister).

His boat is a beauty, but I am a fan of plastic mass-production boats. Cheaper, well built, and repairable.

I'd already heard his presentation some time back, but figured being in the meeting would be interesting and I am feeling a bit isolated lately.  It went well, but it was looonnnggg and I left the meeting at ten and went to bed.

 Quote of the Day
I am a firm believer in the people.
If given the truth, they can be depended upon to meet any national crisis.
The great point is to bring them the real facts.
Abraham Lincoln

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Thursday May 14th 2020

Today Sunny. Wind south 20 km/h becoming west 20 then north 30 gusting to 50 near noon. High 18. UV index 7 or high.
Tonight Clear. Becoming partly cloudy this evening. Wind northeast 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light near midnight. Low plus 3.

I woke up at three and was feeling a bit stuffy. The solution to that is to get up and move around a while and sit up until I am awake and tired enough to go back to sleep.  I had  a light breakfast and coffee, did a few things and went back to bed at four.

Talk Radio 98.5 WRTA
Dr. Gabe Mirkin - May 2020 - WRTA's The 11th Hour with Doug Herendeen

Gabe Mirkin is my most reliable go-to source for the latest and most accurate medical news.
His discussion of COVID-1984 and vaccines is the best I've heard.

I slept until seven-thirty then got up, checked the news and listened to the net. In the swap section, I mentioned I need a dinghy.  Inflatable Bob replied that he has several and offered to pick me up.

I waited a half-hour and he finally showed.  We drove to his shop and I picked out a dinghy and made a deal for one with seats and oars and wheels and a fresh coat of paint.

*   *   *   *   *   *

When no one is looking, we don't bother with the virtue-signaling muzzles and I said to him that the 'quadate en casa' measures being prescribed are ridiculous and damaging. 

"If the idea is to save me and my cohort, they should call this off now. There is no need to stop the world on my account", said I.

He agreed, and said, "How old are you?" 

I said, "Seventy-five." I was rounding forward to October.

He said, "I'm seventy-seven".

We are not looking to die, but most of us old folks would not want the see the future sacrificed just for a random few of us who might croak.  We're past our best-before date anyhow. We'll take our chances.

I don't understand a society that cannot let anyone die. Will it be one worth living in?  That is looking increasingly unlikely and would be very strange and uncomfortable for us old-timers anyhow.

*   *   *   *   *   *

As for health care workers, they are in a squeeze. Read this horror story...

Records reveal chaos in the days before staff abandoned the Herron

It is hard to really fault anyone in this sad tale, but I am sure we will find a scapegoat or two, rather than simply grieve and learn. We always do.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Next, Bob drove me back to MLP where we looked at my dinghy and arranged a trade-in. I had beer bottles to return, so I caught a ride with him back to Bandidos. Generally, I prefer a pilsner, but they were out of Corona, but sold me Modelo Negra at a ridiculous price and sent it home with me.

*   *   *   *   *   *

I've come to the conclusion there is no point in doing anything today and I had no plans so I drank a few, had a nap and am chilling in the 90 degree mid-day heat.

Japanese TV experiment shows how quickly virus particles can spread at buffets
"
In just 30 minutes, the makeshift infection had spread to everyone in the room. Some even had it on their mouths."

Watch the Video

Sharing of environmental organisms is how we develop immunity but also how we get infected.

Here are some interesting videos from an important perspective.

Andrew Breitbart — Media War
Andrew Breitbart has been smeared
and is very worth a listen

*   *   *   *   *   *

The Politics of Hollywood
with Andrew Breitbart

*   *   *   *   *   *

The End of the World as We Know It

*   *   *   *   *   *

The Case For Trump
Worth watching.

*   *   *   *   *   *

After my toilet repair success and finding what should turn out to be an excellent dinghy deal I was inspired and decided to to keep working on my list. 

I figured I'd start with a small job leading up to the shower pump issue and put off the freshwater problem for another day. The freshwater leak is not proving to be simple and easy to hunt down or fix.

*   *   *   *   *   *

I have been reluctant to shower on board lately because the pump emptying the shower pan has been temperamental. 

After a shower, the water has to be evacuated so that the bathroom floor is dry and the bathroom and the shower space are one and the same.

*   *   *   *   *   *

The anchor well washdown pump in the forward cabin looked like an easy target. It has never been used by me or by the previous owner and is really of very little use that I can think of. I had tried it  out recently and found the pump ran but was not moving water so it needed to be repaired to be of any use, either there or anywhere.

One reason I tackled this pump first, besides the apparent simplicity of the job on a hot afternoon, was that my shower drain pump has been failing and maybe this pump could work as a replacement shower sump pump, seeing as I have very little or zero use for it as a washdown pump.

The washdown pump location is very accessible so taking the pump off took only minutes. I disassembled it and it seemed the issue was simply dried salt in the rubber valves, keeping them from operating normally.  I washed it out and reassembled it.  Now I have a working washdown pump.

Now I was on a roll, so I started on the shower job. The shower pump is far up in the back of the basin cabinet and reaching it requires me to be a contortionist.  Reaching it to turn screws means fitting myself into the cramped space between the toilet and the basin cabinet, then reaching up through a small opening over a fairy sharp sill (below left), but I did it.

    

Getting the pump out was not easy, but I got it out. Putting it in again will not be easy.

Next, I took it apart and found a motor bearing is almost seized, likely from exposure to salt water when the boat was flooded.

First, I tried taking the motor apart but that was not going well, so I tightened the through bolts again and tried freeing the bearing by applying penetrating oil and running the motor continuously to loosen it up.

In service this pump never runs more than a few minutes but I figured running it steadily with no load should work in lubrication, wear off any tightness, and free the bearing. 

I had partial success, but by then it was bedtime.  I'll finish tomorrow.

I was in bed by ten. After a while, I surfaced and realised that I had an elbow pain, probably from being scrunched into a tiny space and reaching at odd angles. I took an ibuprofen and went back to sleep.

 Quote of the Day
If you would be a real seeker after truth,
it is necessary that at least once in your life you doubt,
as far as possible, all things.
Rene Descartes

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Friday May 15th 2020

Today A mix of sun and cloud. Wind becoming southeast 20 km/h this morning. High 19. UV index 7 or high.
Tonight Partly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers this evening. Clearing overnight. Wind southeast 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low plus 3.

I woke up from a dream at five. 

I had been haying my ditches and baling the hay in to old-style small rectangular bales, the kind that hobby farmers like because they can be handled without machinery

Also, I had advertised to buy a small cutter and baler and therefore was talking to an equipment dealer from Bashaw. He had a big mustache. I was thinking that Bashaw is along ways off and if I bought something, how would I get it home?

Somehow I trimmed his mustache with a long handled ice scraper.  That surprised both of us and at that point I decided, enough of this nonsense. I don't have any animals to feed anyhow, and woke up.

Ibuprofen can cause strange dreams.

Blood sugar is 6.2, my long-term normal.

*   *   *   *   *

I'm still riding high on my dinghy purchase, the toilet-fixing success, the repair of the washdown pump---and getting the shower pump out of the cabinet, so I hope to make more progress today.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Andres came by and is looking for work.  He is getting desperate, so I gave him a job polishing stainless. I really don't need it done, and he chiseled me last time, but I was wondering how he and his family are  doing and thinking of dreaming up for some work for him. It is not necessary to like and trust people to relate to them.

*   *   *   *   *

The race for coronavirus vaccines: a graphical guide
Eight ways in which scientists hope to provide immunity to SARS-CoV-2

Exciting stuff.  Who knew our bodies defenses are so sophisticated and smart? 
We take them for granted.

*   *   *   *   *   *

Ayaan Hirsi Ali on the West, Dawa, and Islam
impressive.

Is Islam a Religion of Peace?

*   *   *   *   *

We hear about the Alt-right and Antifa.

What abut the rest of us in the Alt-middle?

*   *   *   *   *

I hooked up the shower pump to check it out and it works! 

Now I just have to mount it and hook it up properly.

I just saved $500 US.

*   *   *   *   *

I remounted the shower pump and had a shower.

Mounting the pump was a nasty job, but I managed and it works better than ever. Bonus!

After that hot, uncomfortable work, the shower was most welcome.

*   *   *   *   *

Frankly, I never thought I would listen to this guy and think he makes sense. I was young and stupid and taken in by the MSM groupthink and believed the smears.

Pat Buchanan, on Suicide of a Superpower

Patrick Buchanan is a fascinating guy. He was a presidential candidate back in the seventies  and was accused of suggesting nuking China before China could threaten the USA.

I think his comment was more subtle than that but you know how the media treats deep thoughts.

He is definitely worth a listen.

Hi Allen,

Since you are into tinkering and analyzing.... see whether you can make any sense out of these numbers and how I pieced them together. The two categories of situations are intriguing, and almost opposite to the intended effects. Is there something spurious in this way of looking at things?

Sending it out to some who have been intrigued by this phenomenon...

Jose

Went to the Worldometer coronavirus site and taking a bit of liberties interpreting their graphs through time for positive cases and deaths ascribed to covid, came up with this summary. Very odd, almost as if there are two categories of situations. The places with the most deaths per capita show a peak and then lower numbers, while, in general, the places with lower per capita numbers have stayed steady in cases and deaths. It almost suggests that there was a vulnerable population for the virus to infect with symptoms (and therefore got tested) as well as a highly vulnerable population to die in some higher risk regions. While in other regions the infection played out lower and more level. The irony in all of this is that wherever numbers got appreciably lower after a while, suggesting a positive effect of whatever actions were taken, they still ended up with generally higher per capita ratios, opposite to the intended effect. Numbers in parentheses are rough daily cases or deaths at peak and now, followed by cumulative number per capita (million). Of course all of this assumes that the numbers reported are more or less representative of reality!

Daily Cases peaked and then dropped (peak, now) cumulative cases per million population:
Italy (5.5k, 1.0k) 3.7k
Spain (7.5k, 1.5k) 5.9k
France (5.0k, 1.0k) 2.7k
Germany (5.0k, 1.0k) 2.1k
Belgium (1.5k, 200) 4.7k
Switzerland (1.0k, 50) 3.5k
States within the U.S.
NY (8.0k, 2.0k) 18.3k
NJ (3.5k, 1.0k) 16.3k
LA (1.2k, 200) 7.3k
MA (2.0k, 1.0k) 11.9k

Daily Cases more or less steady (peak, now) cumulative cases per million:
Sweden (500, 500) 2.9k
UK (4.0k, 4.0k) 3.5k
Canada (1.9k, 1.2k) 2.0k
United States overall (28k, 25k) 4.4k
States within the U.S.
CA (1.5k, 1.5k) 1.9k
TX (1.0k, 1.0k) 1.5k
FL (1.0k, 500) 2.0k
WA (300, 200) 2.4k
PA (1.0k, 900) 5.0k

Daily deaths peaked and then dropped (peak, now) cumulative deaths per million:
Italy (800, 200) 530
Spain (900, 200) 590
France (750, 100) 420
Germany (200, 80) 361
Belgium (300, 50) 773
Switzerland (60, 10) 217
UK (750, 400) 501
States within the U.S.
NY (900, 200) 1,400
NJ (250, 200) 1,100
LA (40, 30) 527

Daily deaths more or less steady (peak, now) cumulative deaths per million:
Sweden (75, 75)
United States (1.8k, 1.5k) 265
States within the U.S.
MA (120, 120) 795
CA (60, 60) 77
TX (30, 30) 43
FL (30, 30) 87
WA (20, 10) 130
PA (90, 90) 345

Thanks.  I appreciate being asked.

That is interesting.  However, right off, I'm having trouble finding signal in the noise. I see some flashes, but nothing enduring. 

Maybe we need to draw whiskers, but I can't see it and if I try to imagine all possible correlations, I stack overflow and BSOD.  My eyes roll back.

There might be a pattern, but if so, I see nothing much except chance dictates that there will always be clusters and some sizeable ones, too. It is not impossible to roll one hundred twelves in a row. Just unlikely.

To me the only pattern is no pattern, excepting only governmental overreach and obfuscation. That pattern emerges over and over.

There are always susceptible groups defined by genetics, environment, sometimes, simply irreproducible once-only chance. Our samples are too small and from non-heterogeneous populations (and sub-populations).

Moreover it is no secret that the reports are based on unreliable and subjective  data, influenced by politics and other unknown factors. GIGO.

Additionally, I am highly suspicious of statistical analysis that purports to find pattern/meaning in noise.  Sometimes several different statistical approaches must be consulted before an 'useful' conclusion emerges, but, too often it is ephemera and the next replication attempt yields the opposite or nothing.

Can we even agree on what is a 'case'?  Even what exactly counts as a COVID-19(84) death is is highly questionable.

Suddenly we are confronted with daily discussion of death in the media and dying is totally new concept for the sheeple.  I hate that term but it fits. Sheep Logic.

Herd immunity?  S/B flock immunity.

I cannot find enough confirming data, even anecdotal, to overcome my strong doubts.

Anyhow, I'd maybe see more clearly if it could be charted.

I'll have to spend more time with it

*   *   *   *   *

My friend whose wife owns the only crematorium for this whole state (BCS) says they are not seeing any CV business and the people who pick up bodies say that the special wards in hospitals for CV are empty.

*   *   *   *   *

One issue remains: the fresh water system leak.  What then?

I had a Zoom visit with my son, Jon, in the evening and think I will plan some future family get-togethers.

*   *   *   *   *

I see Bill Norrie made it to New Zealand single-handing his little sailboat. Last I saw him was at a Bluewater meeting in Calgary. His wife became commodore of the Calgary chapter and shortly after I decided to give up the position of rendezvous organizer I had held for years when she started micromanaging everything and calling unnecessary meetings, making what was up until then a simple job into a time-waster.  Wonder why he went sailing by himself? 


Link                                    Link

Quote of the Day
There are no facts, only interpretations.
Friedrich Nietzsche

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Saturday May 16th 2020

Today Sunny. Becoming a mix of sun and cloud near noon. Wind southwest 20 km/h gusting to 40. High 23. UV index 7 or high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. Wind southwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low 8.

I'm still at the dock in La Paz and happy enough to be here.

I woke up at five again, got up had breakfast and wiped down the head (nautical term for bathroom). 

As I cleaned, I was listening to an excellent ABC Rear View episode about pandemics, starting with Athens and then concentrating on the New World. I looked for a download link, but it was not yet posted.

I realise we have forgotten a lot. Pandemics used to wipe out large segments of populations or even entire populations, so I can understand why scholars are apprehensive.  Most of us really don't understand the risks.  We're used to our safe world and have little memory of the regular epidemics of even a half-century ago. 

There is no way to be entirely confident that this virus will not turn into a bigger killer than it now appears to be after traveling through the world population, mutating as it goes.

Strangely in this modern world where it is assumed we know everything and if we don't will in a few hours, days, or weeks, there seems to be total confusion and uncertainty. That is not to say that some are not very, very certain, but IMO that is certainty is largely due to ignorance.

Pandemics are routine in the animal and insect world and go largely unnoticed by all except those who study or depend on those populations.  Disease and predators keep populations in balance with nature.

'CCD' is an example in bees and such disappearances have been observed regularly over centuries.

Local human epidemics are still commonplace in parts of the world but go largely unnoticed here in our North American world.

We don't like epidemics and have figured out ways to stop them but that has resulted in a burgeoning world population as the natural balance has been altered.  Our human natural birth rate and social practices evolved to compensate for high death rates and now we are overpopulating.  It is relatively easy to convince  people to take measures to stem epidemics, but it take a lot more convincing to reduce the birth rates.

Although nature might prefer to have epidemics do her work, we prefer to live, not die, and our hope, if we cannot find a preventative or a cure, rests on the tendency for lethal strains to become less dominant by being obvious and terminal and for weaker but more transmissible strains to race ahead and immunize our populations.

*   *   *   *   *

I'll have to take a longer look at the data that Jose sent and posted yesterday.  My initial look over did not reveal anything obvious to me, but maybe there is something in there.  I know I am biased and probably wrong, but if nothing jumps out at me when I'm looking at data, I strongly expect that any effect in there is fairly subtle. Jose thought that maybe he saw something, so I owe it another look.

If anyone sees something there that I don't, please write or post in the forum.

*   *   *   *   *

Was WHO wrong in being hesitant and delaying in naming this event a pandemic?  Technically, maybe not. Were they negligent in not strongly warning the world of a potential pandemic?  Yes!

Were our leaders naive and/or negligent in acting to prevent spread?  Definitely. 

Our Canadian government allowed itself to be guided by a Chinese dual citizen who slavishly followed WHO, even when the rest of us were already avoiding potential infection and wondering, what are they smoking? 

It is an open secret that WHO is headed by a person of doubtful competence and compromised loyalties with a history of concealing outbreaks of disease in his home country.  WHO failed to advise travel bans when that would have prevented the worldwide spread. The omission actually seems deliberate.

In the USA, Trump did suspend flights from China and probably would have done much more but faced great opposition, even being denounced as racist, and was still being hampered by the ongoing attempted coup that has now been revealed to have been orchestrated by the previous administration and should lead to criminal charges. We'll see. Trump has cut WHO's funding for now, pending investigation and we shall see where the wheel stops.

*   *   *   *   *

Andres is coming at nine to do some polishing. I'm not looking forward to it, but he needs the work.  Funny thing is I do not really need the stainless polished and I don't even particularly like the guy but he keeps asking and I'm a soft touch.

*   *   *   *   *

Reading John Mauldin's letter today, I was impressed by his comment after listening to Ben Hunt at the virtual SIC.

John says:

"I was struck as I listened to him about how criticism of the politicization of COVID-19 coincides with my own views on economists and politicians. I have said often that some economists are like witch doctors or shamans of the past. They would sacrifice sheep, look at the entrails, and predict the future. Politicians use economists to make models showing the correctness of whatever they want to do anyway. Too many economists are basically pets for politicians."

Amen.  I would include some 'scientists' in this as well.

*   *   *   *   *

As for me, on the topic of isolating and masks, etc. I'm stuck in the middle. 

I avoided hot spots like Vancouver where Chinese concentrate and travel back and forth to China often, long before anyone thought that might be wise and avoided traveling to see my 101 y.o. Mom. 

I live alone on a boat and socialize very little. I do walk around a bit and go shopping but I take Uber now rather than the colectivos and I wear a mask when in public.

I wash my hands more often, especially when returning from off the boat, but not compulsively. 

Am I worried about getting the virus?  I always assumed it is inevitable but like many things, delaying the inevitable seems wise. 

Will I get really ill?  Will I die?  I don't know and I am in no hurry to find out.

Do I think our governments are handing this well? 

No. I'd give them a D- on most matters, but probably not an F.

I like what Sweden did, relying on the people to make good choices and providing guidance with relatively little regulation or enforcement.  Treat people like adults and they will act like adults. Treat the like children and they will act like children.  People have enough sense to watch out for their own safety if allowed to.

*   *   *   *   *   *

We must always remember that our best interests and those of the politicians are not the same.  Sometimes they overlap, but we must remember that the people in power were elected and therefore they were lucky or they did things to get elected.  That invites corruption because it takes money to be elected these days.  Lots of money, and those who provide the money expect a return on that investment.  I think that is one reason Trump has so many powerful enemies. Love him or hate him he is not for sale. 

Trudeau?  You have to be kidding? 

The Greeks did not elect, they used a lottery to get representative government. Like juries, but without the selection by lawyers. Raw reality. Populism in action.

*   *   *   *   *

Andres showed up and is washing the boat.  I thought he was going to polish the stainless.  What do I know?  We don't understand each other very well. Anyhow, I'll have a clean boat and he can feed his family.

Not only that my boat is right where everyone on the shore and passing on the dock can see it, so maybe Andres will pick up some more business when people see him working here.

*   *   *   *   *

I am optimistic. Things had gone about as far as they can go before this hit. Unnoticed by most, the repo market froze up in September.

That was a canary in our coalmine, portending end times for the current long-running Ponzi racket. Trump had that figured and was turning the screws on China and other parasitical regimes and, of course, that made him a lot of powerful enemies.

Covid-19(84) has been a convenient distraction from the ongoing financial systemic collapse and is providing cover for the usual suspects to start a new con.  Will we ever get our freedom back?  Not if they can help it, and not unless we wake up. 

So far the populace is buying the narrative and the captive media are keeping us well-fed with distractions, but at some point we will run out of supplies and realise that unless we get to actual work, we won't have anything. 

Printed money is a shot of adrenaline for a dying economy and may keep it alive a little longer, but the metaphor here is apt.

 Adrenaline Shot Can Save Lives But With Big Risks

"An adrenaline shot can restart your heart if it suddenly stops beating, but a new trial shows that chances are you might not return to much of a life if you survive."

*   *   *   *   *

JM:> Many folks use nine frames instead of ten in honey supers precisely so the bees draw them out farther. If you use an automatic uncapper there is less chance of cells not getting uncapped before extraction. Less of an issue with those of us who uncap by hand.

Me: John is right and some even use eight per box for supers (not brood) because the frames are fatter and easier to extract, there is twenty percent less handling, and lower capital cost. Plus the bees clear out better.

In brood chambers, I have run thousands of boxes with ten and the same with nine and can see no real difference in performance.

Generally if your frames in the brood boxes get too fat, you were too slow supering and the bees needed to make more storage space. They would have preferred to go up but were forced to build where they could. Same with burr and brace comb.

Some burr and brace and ladder is normal, but if your hive is all gummed up and hard to work, you were inattentive and did not provide enough room soon enough. The time to super is before the flow not after.

Keeping (plastic) foundation in the number one and ten positions in brood boxes in two-brood box hives (doubles) is a good practice because when they are being drawn you know you need more supers.

 

UK Chief Medic Confirms (Again) That COVID-19 Is Harmless To Vast Majority

[T]he great majority of people will not die from this and I’ll just repeat something I said right at the beginning because I think it’s worth reinforcing:

Most people, a significant proportion of people, will not get this virus at all, at any point of the epidemic which is going to go on for a long period of time.

Of those who do, some of them will get the virus without even knowing it, they will have the virus with no symptoms at all, asymptomatic carriage, and we know that happens.

Of those who get symptoms, the great majority, probably 80%, will have a mild or moderate disease. Might be bad enough for them to have to go to bed for a few days, not bad enough for them to have to go to the doctor.

An unfortunate minority will have to go as far as hospital, but the majority of those will just need oxygen and will then leave hospital.

And then a minority of those will end up having to go to severe end critical care and some of those sadly will die.

But that’s a minority, it’s 1% or possibly even less than 1% overall.

And even in the highest risk group this is significantly less than 20%, ie. the great majority of people, even the very highest groups, if they catch this virus, will not die.

And I really wanted to make that point really clearly…
 

Turns out Andres is both washing the boat and polishing the stainless.  That is a pleasant surprise. 

I wasn't totally sure what we had agreed to and we had a misunderstanding last time, but it all worked out. His English is as sketchy as my Spanish.

I know he appreciates the job and being seen in this location may have picked up more work for him.  I suppose if he makes my boat a showpiece right in a highly visible, high foot traffic area that won't hurt his rep.

Jose writes again:

Hi Allen,

Lost some sleep last night pondering the data set I put together. I had the thought some of it could come from differences in the amount of testing- more tests per capita picking up more infections (and possibly deaths). But I checked the numbers this morning and most of the countries on the list have tested at "similar" levels. Crazy when things that are in the same order of magnitude are considered similar.. Most countries have 30 thousand plus tests per million, Italy and Spain roughly double, France and Sweden roughly half.

Still think there are two groups of current situations- one with higher mortalities and positive cases (per capita) which also exhibited a "curve" in sharp increase of cases, some kind of plateau, and then a decrease. The second situation has lower mortalities and cases and much flatter "curves".

Explanations I can come up with?

1) The data are suspect at so many levels that any apparent differences are random.
2) Some places inflated their numbers for whatever reason (incompetence, an agenda, some general policy) while others may be underestimating.
3) We are catching the playing out of the waves at different points in time. (This suggests there may have been earlier infections in some places?)
4) There are true differences in how on the same time scale the virus hits different populations depending on their health.
5) There are different strains out there of varying virulence producing some very different outcomes.

Russia and Brazil now seem to be on the big rampup of cases and deaths.... Why "later"? And Japan and South Korea have never had high numbers of cases or deaths....

Crazy and crazy making stuff!

Jose

I confess have not made a deep dive into the data because I have a feeling it will be a a tar-baby and I have other distractions, chief among them being the freshwater leak. That's my excuse. That and compulsively reading Zero Hedge as the trainwrecks compound.

I always figured Obama was dirty.  He was always just too smooth and slick. I'm wondering how far this will unravel.

Given the five options, though, it is easy to shoot from the hip and rate them as to probability in my mind. I think they all apply to some extent.  Most are unknowable.

Probability:

1). <50% +/-  2). 100%  3). 95%  4). 75%?  5).100%

And weighting...

1). 15  2). 25  3). 10  4). 10  5). 40

That is a quick and dirty and very non-scientific lazy response, I know, but as Jose says, "Crazy and crazy making stuff!".

True! And that is just looking at the crude and poorly defined virus data.

I know without too much thought that this problem is insoluble except in terms of a plethora of parameters, mostly unknown and/or unknowable, so the solution is not really a solution, but merely another problem.

Okay. I'm a sucker for punishment.  I give in.  Here goes...

We need also to consider

Environment: temperature, sunlight, humidity, pollen, and especially pollution.  I think pollution is a huge factor in China and the hard-hit industrial part of Italy and maybe even NYC.

Population density has been mentioned as well cultural practices (kissing, hugging, multi-generational families). Rural is different from urban.

Genetics. Won't touch this one right now.

Housing age, type and quality, air exchange, and dominant heating systems factor in.  So does the dominant method of transport and amount of travel.

Climate and weather must have influence. Time outdoors has an effect. Vitamin D has been mentioned as beneficial. Word is that the virus does not like temps over 75F and high humidity.  (That is partly why I am here and why I shop late in the day when it is hot, not early in morning at the special time set aside for seniors but the day is still cool).

Shopping habits matter, too.  Large box stores with good air management are different from small local stores, open markets and home delivery.  Daily shopping differs from living out of a garden and freezer.

Dining habits have an effect. I have had my worst colds after eating in restaurants.  Road Town gave me a most memorable cold and I got the dire rear recently eating at a palapa restaurante at Playa Tesoro.  Restaurants, cafes, patios are a daily habit in some cultures. 

Politics and economics: We aren't even touching the politics and economics.

This whole phenomenon is n-dimensional where n is a large number and my head explodes even if I discard detail and just try to work with outlines.

Error. Buffer Overflow. "Does not compute".

In short, having started to look deeper, I can see that we are comparing apples to oranges to pears to coconuts. We are trying to divide by zero in a number system that does not support that operation.

To compare, we need homogeneous populations or a finite number of known differences. Here, we are looking at many distinct populations and even populations within populations.  I doubt our analytical tools are suited to this and any 'answers' we get will be garbage.

Unless we just guess. Human intuition is amazingly accurate if unpolluted by 'reason'.

Andres finished and I paid him. He wanted a tip. Very funny. I gave him a beer, though.  He also, as I expected, got more work from passersby.

He's an opportunist. I respect that.  I respect anyone who gets out and hustles.

Jeff, a neighbour on this dock, had left me a note that he has an air conditioner for sale, so after the heat of the day, I walked over and met him, and we walked to his bodega to look at what he has.  He had two and both are cheap, but also quite old.  I decided to think about it.

He was going to Chedraui and has a truck, so I caught a lift to Bandidos to return beer bottles and get some beer. Seems they are sold out of bottled beer, but do have draft, so I had several, then walked back to Baja Magic.

I had supper, watched various YouTube videos, and went to bed at nine-thirty.

"Collusion against Trump" timeline
 

Kellyanne Conway
On The 2016 Presidential Election


China Has Jailed Hundreds Of People For Questioning Official COVID-19 Narrative, Report

And I cannot get back on Facebook.

Global Cooling!! Low Solar Activity To Cause Temperatures To Plummet, Say Scientists

A First Vaccine for COVID-19

Joe Rogan: "There's no real science to" social-distancing.

Joe Rogan theorizes that Wisconsin closed down bars and enforces social distancing because they want everybody depressed and misery loves company, adding it's funny that people using ventilators may die.

Frank Zappa

Quote of the Day
A lie gets halfway around the world before
the truth has a chance to get its pants on.
Winston Churchill

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Sunday May 17th 2020

Today A mix of sun and cloud. Wind becoming southwest 20 km/h near noon. High 22. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. Wind southwest 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low 9.

I got up at six-thirty.

Again, I'm still at the dock in La Paz and still happy to be here.

Tucker: Big Tech censors dissent over coronavirus lockdowns

Catherine corrects me. 

I said:

"In the USA, Trump did suspend flights from China....."

She says:

At the beginning of February he only restricted (it was not a ban) which travelers could come into the U.S. from, or by way of, China. Flights from China continued to land in the U.S. with all U.S. citizens (and/or their spouses and families) being allowed entry - tens of thousands of people continued coming from China.

All of February and into March he did literally nothing more on the coronavirus issue (no test development, no PPE stockpiling, etc) except to say there were only a few cases of covid-19 and it was all going to go away.

Around the middle of March he did another travel restriction (again, not a ban) for travelers coming into the U.S. from Europe. Again, all U.S. citizens (and/or their spouses and families) coming from, or by way of, Europe were allowed entry - and there were NO restrictions on entry into the U.S. for ANY traveler coming from the UK or Ireland.

p.s All U.S. citizens AND permanent residents (and/or their spouses and families) were allowed to enter the U.S. from China and Europe.

Those travel restrictions were also the recommendation of Alex Azar (with the full backing of his department) and not - as Trump likes to say - Trump's idea and done in spite of "everyone" being against it.

I think my point was that the US acted more decisively and earlier than Canada and when we did act, our chief medical health officer instructed the border authorities to remove all reference to China in the advice to arrivals and did not institute health checks or any other measures until very late and totally fumbled protecting seniors' residences. (However, as I understand it, much of that falls to the states).

How Canada responded to COVID-19
from 'low risk' to 'serious'

True, Trump did not appear to see the virus as much of a threat early on, but he was also very distracted by the impeachment matters as I recall. He was also constrained by the advice he was receiving. Fact is that the virus has proven to be less lethal by far than many claim, with some local exceptions.

I confess to only recently having had much interest in US politics and until very recently pretty much accepted the party line pumped out by the MSM in both the USA and Canada.  However, I came across a lot of little things that were causing an increasingly me a feeling of cognitive dissonance.

As a result of that, and the discovery of the real intentions of power freaks in government and media as revealed by their naked exploitation of the virus opportunity and, now, surprise revelations of an attempted soft coup I am interested.  The ongoing seppuku by the once credible Democratic party is as fascinating as it is puzzling.

Not only is the prime Democratic candidate incoherent, Obama's recorded comments about the accusations sounded intoxicated.

Interesting times. The future of "Western Civilization" is balanced on a knife edge. A feather or a zephyr could tip it either way and most of our 'leaders' don't seem to notice or are seemingly biased towards  totalitarianism.

So, along comes this:

Conrad Black: Trump is nailing it (but the mainstream media would never tell you that)
(Conrad Black founded the National Post)

And before people point out that Conrad Black is a convicted criminal and that Trump pardoned him, let me say that at the time I did not like what Black did with Massey-Fergusen, or Hollinger, or think much of his seeking the peerage, but fact is, he played by the rules and took advantage of them, but have come to understand better and to respect his intellect. Who am I, a beekeeper living on a boat, to judge?

Black was taken down on a technical hit, and sentenced by a kangaroo court. He had made enemies and was an outsider by choice and, like Trump, not protected.

That said let's watch and see if Obama gets the full treatment and maybe indicted for skating too close to the edge.  He should and so should his gang, but I'm betting not. He is protected.

Where to Worry About Catching Covid-19, and Where Not To

How the coronavirus spreads in the real world.

“There are some trends emerging,” she says. “Spending time dining together, being in public transport,” might risk spreading the disease, but “going to a market briefly, for five minutes or a transient encounter while you walk or run past someone, those are low risks.”

"The two drivers of the spread of the disease are close contact and crowding in closed spaces... It spread through homeless shelters and nursing and care homes, where people were crowded with many others. It spread through people’s households, and through meat packing plants."


"In the real world, most people transmit the disease to nobody, or one person, and a minority infect many others in so-called super-spreading events. It's those we must learn how to avoid.

"The data show that nine percent of infected people are responsible for 80% of the transmissions"

"People passing by you in a supermarket are unlikely to infect you. Outdoor environments appear much safer as well. In one study, which followed hundreds of cases, all but one transmission occurred indoors."

“I’d like people to stop wasting mental energy on the wrong things,” Bromage says. “To stop worrying about outdoors and bike riders since it’s such a low risk.”

SARS-CoV-2–Fighting T Cells Found in Recovered Patients

"...Although it doesn’t provide a conclusive answer, a study published yesterday (May 14) in Cell appears to be good news on the immunity front. Researchers at the La Jolla Institute for Immunology in California took blood from 20 adults who’d recovered from COVID-19 and exposed the samples to proteins from the SARS-CoV-2 virus. All of the patients had CD4+ helper T cells that recognized the virus’s spike protein, and 70 percent of them had CD8+ killer T cells that responded to the same protein. “Our data show that the virus induces what you would expect from a typical, successful antiviral response,”...

I finally began on the water leak again. It's been weeks now. I have been reluctant to open that can of worms again and have been able to get by if I don't run the pressure up.  Just the same, it has to be done even if it means ripping out some woodwork.

It is one PM and I just heard a passenger jet pass overhead going north for the first time in weeks.

Study Points To COVID-19 Lab Creation; Lead Author Suggests 'Forced Selection' Vs. Genetic Engineering

I began to do an engine oil change and found the oil change pump is seized.  I could change oil without that system, but figured I should fix it and dug out the manual. 

Next, I decided to walk to Bandidos to get some beer and off I went. 

I returned and was reading my email.  Seems Catherine disagrees with me in detail on quite a few (most?) points regarding US politics. That is not surprising, seeing as her view is pretty well the public narrative and I am rejecting it.  I could reproduce the points here, but I know the futility of debating such issues and merely note the disagreement and move on.

Either you see it or you don't. Facts are elusive and slippery.  Even if the facts are agreed, personal perspective and personal experience determine the significance and implications assigned to each fact and set of facts. Permutations and combinations become infinite quickly. 

It has been said that if everyone agrees, no one (or maybe only one) is thinking. Debating is typically more of a sport and entertainment than a way of reaching truth, (whatever truth is). While I excelled in such diversions at one time, and rhetoric, these days I try to stay clear.

I started going through the port aft locker in order to access the water leak and came across a big electric cord that has been in my locker for months now.  I was going to take it to Victor, assuming it must be his, but contacted Miguel first, just in case it is his and he was glad to learn where it is and will come tomorrow to get it.

After finding another seized pump (that's three now) and reading my email I was feeling discouraged, so I had supper and watched Schitt's Creek until bed time around nine

 

 

Quote of the Day
Man is least himself when he talks in his own person.
Give him a mask, and he will tell you the truth.
Oscar Wilde

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Monday May 18th 2020

Today Mainly sunny. Increasing cloudiness this afternoon. Wind becoming south 20 km/h gusting to 40 this afternoon. High 21. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Cloudy. Becoming partly cloudy this evening. Wind south 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low 10.

 

I woke at one and could not sleep.  I was stuffy.  Breathing exercises helped, but didn't put me back to sleep, so after a while, I got up and had a shower (it is so nice to have the drain pump working properly again), took some Benadryl, and went back to bed.  

Next I knew it was seven-thirty.

*   *   *   *   *

I've been here almost three months now and the next flight to Calgary from SJD is July 4th as scheduled at present.  That could change.

I can likely get back some other way, but so far I am happy here. In fact I have thought seriously of moving here and applying for permanent residency.

*   *   *   *   *

I made a vegetarian stew and tidied a bit, then Miguel came by at eleven to get his cord. We chatted a while, then drove to Bandidos for a beer.

We had our beer and I went to pay and realised my wallet is at home since I had been working and put it aside to empty my pockets.  So, Miguel paid.

We returned to the marina and he dropped me off.

Gold, Silver, Dollar, & Bonds Dumped Because 8 Healthy Young People Didn't Die From Test Vaccine
 

The US is Dramatically Over-counting
Coronavirus Deaths

...medical examiners classify any deaths as Coronavirus deaths when the postmortem test is positive. Even people who died in suicides and automobile accidents meet that definition...

...If you were in hospice and had already been given a few weeks to live, and then you also were found to have COVID, that would be counted as a COVID death...

...New York is classifying cases as Coronavirus deaths even when postmortem tests have been negative. Despite negative tests, classifications are based on symptoms, even though the symptoms are often very similar to those of the seasonal flu...

...The Washington Post reports they are concerned that the CDC’s “antiquated” accounting system is double counting cases and inflating mortality and case counts “by as much as 25 percent.” ...

...There are financial incentives that might make a difference for hospitals and doctors. The CARES Act adds a 20 percent premium for COVID-19 Medicare patients...

Two Trailblazing COVID -19 Researchers Dead In A Month

China's Disappeared Heroes & The Silence Of The West

There are none so blind as those who will not see.

Austrian Study Finds
"Sign Of Human Intervention"
 In COVID-19

A Complete List of Donald Trump’s Business Disasters

This was a better day, just another perfect day here in Paradise

After I fixed the oil change pump with minimal difficulty I walked over to Banditos for some beer to take home.

  

It seems I have made friends of the owners now. That is partly because they don't have a lot of business, I suppose.

When I lived up the street at 53 Antonio Navarro and when my boat was under repair across the street from Bandidos at Victor's, I actually considered Banditos a nuisance because of the traffic and barbecue smells.

Aaron and I had supper there once because he likes to eat out. It was okay. Now, the place is empty and doing take-away only but somehow I get to sit there and drink beer with the owners.

I used to judge and get excited about things but as I age, I see that "For everything there is a season, and a time for every purpose under heaven."

I'm not much of a fan of "the Scriptures" and am aware how books have been selected or rejected for inclusion for political reasons du jour over the millennia, and translated between incompatible languages and systems of thought, but somehow the meanings and feelings in Ecclesiastes come through intact and and still resonate  today as clearly as they did millennia ago.

Ecclesiastes 2:3,17
I sought in mine heart to give myself unto wine, yet acquainting mine heart with wisdom; and to lay hold on folly, till I might see what was that good for the sons of men, which they should do under the heaven all the days of their life…


I, the Teacher, was king over Israel in Jerusalem.

I applied my mind to study and to explore by wisdom all that is done under the heavens. What a heavy burden God has laid on mankind!

I have seen all the things that are done under the sun; all of them are meaningless, a chasing after the wind.

What is crooked cannot be straightened;
what is lacking cannot be counted.

I said to myself, “Look, I have increased in wisdom more than anyone who has ruled over Jerusalem before me; I have experienced much of wisdom and knowledge.”

Then I applied myself to the understanding of wisdom, and also of madness and folly, but I learned that this, too, is a chasing after the wind.

For with much wisdom comes much sorrow;
the more knowledge, the more grief.


The words of the Teacher [a] son of David, king in Jerusalem:

“Meaningless! Meaningless!” says the Teacher. “Utterly meaningless! Everything is meaningless.”

What do people gain from all their labors at which they toil under the sun?

Generations come and generations go, but the earth remains forever.

The sun rises and the sun sets, and hurries back to where it rises.

The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course.

All streams flow into the sea, yet the sea is never full. To the place the streams come from, there they return again.

All things are wearisome, more than one can say. The eye never has enough of seeing, nor the ear its fill of hearing.

What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun.

Is there anything of which one can say, “Look! This is something new”? It was here already, long ago; it was here before our time.

No one remembers the former generations, and even those yet to come will not be remembered by those who follow them.

So, why do I write?

"Is there anything of which one can say, “Look! This is something new”? It was here already, long ago; it was here before our time."

"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow; the more knowledge, the more grief."

Thought of the Day
An error does not become truth by reason of multiplied propagation,
nor does truth become error because nobody sees it.
Mahatma Gandhi

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post

Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

Tuesday May 19th 2020

Today Mainly cloudy. High 20. UV index 6 or high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. Becoming cloudy this evening. Low 9.

Again, I woke at one and could not get back to sleep. I finally did sleep, though, and slept right through to seven-thirty.

I had breakfast, listened to the net, then Mich sent me an invitation for a Zoom conference with Mom.  That went very well and is a great start to the day.

Over 100 Million in China’s Northeast Face Renewed Lockdown

While the cluster of 34 infections isn’t growing as quickly the outbreak in Wuhan which started the global pandemic last December, China’s swift and powerful reaction reflects its fear of a second wave after it curbed the virus’s spread at great economic and social cost.

 

Past plagues offer lessons for society after the coronavirus pandemic

 

Insight from an anonymous reader...

The Trump phenomenon in the U.S. is quite a thing. I am not a fan of him, but still find his behaviors and actions intriguing and to a degree enigmatic. I really cannot figure out what he is after. Not that it matters much, as the true decisions currently are being made by corporations and lobbyists. But he is a master at annoying people and keeping them on edge. Probably something that made him a successful business person. If success is measured by taking advantage of every possible business relationship, and government programs.

I cannot stand listening to any of the current politicians, left or right. A group that was active in the 2000s in various blogs saw through the Obama con job before he got elected. Such a farce, and in contrast with Trump, such a smooth operator and talker. And yet his policies are not that different.

And meant to comment on something you have probably noted: the TDS, Trump derangement syndrome. It is really amazing how so many are totally caught up in this emotion. They live for exposing Trump, what he said, what he plans, what he tweeted, how stupid he is. Really remarkable and actually kind of scary. I have gobs of relatives and friends totally taken up by it. As if it really matters. When we ask them what it actually means in terms of policies or things that really affect the average person all they can come up with is a list of appointments in judiciary positions, regulatory positions, and some flashy executive orders that really do not affect many situations or people. And so many are caught up in this identity politics and differences on social issues that really will not change (like abortion, gay "rights", etc.) because society as a whole is culturally in acceptance of all of them.

So expect kneejerks and anger if you do not tow the line of finding Trump a constant threat to the world, the U.S. and society. And add to that a few of the world leaders that presumably have popped up in his image- like Bolsonaro in Brazil, Boris Johnson in the UK, and some others.

PS: I should have pointed out that The Guardian has just recently put out two fictional stories- on the apocalypse of honey bees in North America, and on the threat of the great Asian hornet to honey bees...


I reply...

I think DJT is a bit autistic and that accounts for his bizarre way of speaking and acting. It works for him as it keeps the chickens hypnotized.

If you watch his hands and not his mouth or animation, what he is actually doing is more obvious. The guy is no fool and has learned a lot over the years. He is playing poker against some dangerous people and keeps his cards well out of sight.

Previous incumbents let China grow to where China has now become a real and present danger to the West, with a Stalin-like leader for life. (Hitler-like? Neither is good for liberty.)

Granted, China could have gone either way, democracy or fascist, and we were all hoping they would grow up and be like us. We happily stood by and let them pick our pockets for loose change.

However, the path chosen has now become really obvious lately with Xi, and technology may make deposing him impossible without unimaginable bloodshed.
 
Up until now, we have been seduced by all the almost free stuff the Chinese made for us with their slave or almost slave labour, and were willing to stand and watch, but 2020 has become decision time.

I recall when I first started visiting the US and Mexico in the mid eighties being astounded by how much stuff was being sent over to the US and how little got to Mexico.

My impression is that DJT is constrained by the various interests jostling his elbow and trying to kneecap him but is a more decent guy than Obama who I thought was and is a real sleaze. Don't ask me about Hillary.

DJT actually does seem to relate to the working guy and that is the reason for his popular support.

I'm not a fan and not an American, but I think he was the best possible available choice for the country in 2016 and continues to look best in 2020.

Obama looks like he has been run over by a truck after his stint and Trump is not looking any older thus far, but more serious. He has had lots of failures, but Henry Ford went broke twice before he hit his home run.

Plus DJT is experienced in bankruptcy, and the US is bankrupt.

I consider DJT to be a Rorschach test, and maybe more of an IQ test. Anyone who cannot think of any good thing to say about him fails. Anyone who can't see his flaws and errors, ditto.

As I say, he is a master at distraction and keeps small minds busy with his inconsequential soap opera while he cancels the follies of previous admins to the extent it is possible.

The messes in Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria won't be fixed for a long time and thankfully he is not opening up more fronts unless he has to face down China.

In that regard DJT is less likely to get us into a mess than most others because he confuses the enemy. Heck, he confuses his friends :)

I'm not getting much done today, but I did reinstall the oil change pump and it works. I'm still avoiding the water leak.

My list is getting shorter. Maybe I should get groceries and get back out to Falsa.  Oh.  Maybe not.  I am waiting for the new dinghy. Tomorrow? or as they say here, mañana?  Mañana can mean 'maybe'.

How long can I avoid facing the water leak?  Maybe I'll do some accounting.

Actually, I had a nice long nap, waking at four.

I reinstalled the oil change pump and read some of the manuals, then had supper.

I mentioned Obamagate earlier and a friend sent a link to a Jimmy Dore video, so I watched the video and noticed that he has a session with Joe Rogan. 

I enjoy Joe, so I figured that their session should be good and it is worthwhile and pretty funny, but hugely time wasting.

(Sample Jimmy Fore tweets are at right, so if you happen to be an Obama worshiper, you'll probably want to skip these videos--and these guys are actually avowed lefties. That is how bad things are getting)

*   *   *   *   *

After this morning's chat with Mom, and a Zoom video call later with cousin Jack, I decided that video calls work much better than phone calls.  I'd also like to do more family meetings. I've already been playing with Zoom and tonight decided to look at Google Meetings

Compared to Zoom, Google Meetings is dead simple with almost no setup beyond figuring how to give the browser camera and microphone permissions. I see that it is supported on desktops but for Android requires a tablet version.  Mom uses an Android tablet.   Will the iOS version run on a iPad?  Apparently. Bill uses Apple. I have not tried it yet in a conversation. Mañana

*   *   *   *   *

Maybe Inflatable Bob will have the dinghy ready tomorrow.  If so, I may start heading out to Falsa again or even Balandra as I hear Balandra is open.

Oh.  I was supposed to send Mich a list of family email addresses for Mom but got distracted culling my address book  and did not finish the job.

I watched more Schitt's Creek and have to say it is droll and not unkind. That is saying something these days.

As I am about to go to bed I hear a car alarm.  It has been sounding for at least two hours off and on.  Car alarms are a nightly occurrence. Maybe it is just this one car every night.  Who knows?  Who cares?

Read May 20th post >>

Thought of the Day
Truth is a deep kindness that teaches us to
be content in our everyday life and share
with the people the same happiness.
Khalil Gibran

Images on these pages are best viewed with the Hover Zoom Gold browser extension
Note: This  is not the malicious extension recently reported. .

Read Yesterday's Post
Go back a year
Two years.

<< Previous Page | Top | End | Next Page >>

 

Search for anything, anywhere in honeybeeworld.com

Note: if the results come out blank, turn off your ad blocker temporarily

 

Local radar and satellite weather charts

Three Hills Area Weather Forecast
Intellicast | Yahoo | Weather Channel
Webcams  | Banff  | Banff | Sunshine Village | Calgary
Satellite Pictures 1
Canadian temperatures are in degrees Celsius

allen's Computer Security Page
A collection of helpful ideas and links
Free Online Virus Scans
 Panda | Trend Micro
Free Online Security Check

Convert Currency | Convert Measurements
Convert Celsius to Fahrenheit >
Chart
  Calculator

   "If I make a living off it, that's great -- but I come from a culture where you're valued
not so much by what you acquire but by what you give away,"
-- Larry Wall (the inventor of Perl)
Please report any problems or errors to Allen Dick
© allen dick 1999-2020. Permission granted to copy in context for non-commercial purposes, and with full attribution.

Home