April 2020

 

 

 

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Wednesday April 1st 2020
April Fools Day

Today Mainly cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries. Wind becoming north 20 km/h this afternoon. High minus 9. Wind chill minus 24 this morning and minus 16 this afternoon. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Clearing late this evening. Wind north 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low minus 21. Wind chill minus 17 this evening and minus 27 overnight.

Tonight we will be docked at Marina La Paz or anchored nearby. Tides will affect our timing.  Noon looks like the best arrival time. We get wind and currents running in our direction in the  morning. After that, the tide will be pushing us away from the dock.

I wonder if Uber will be running.  So far it is, with suggestions to limit travel to essential trips.

I'm getting tired of the Wuflu story, having bird-dogged it from the start as The Big One and a Game Changer.  I recommend reading Zero Hedge for all the insight and rumours.  Just be aware that it is unfiltered and only suitable for those who question everything. No foolin'.

Updated Tuesday 31 March 2020... There are now 1215 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Mexico with 29 deaths. That is a 11% rise in new cases in 24 hrs. There are 18 currently active cases reported in Baja California Sur and 35 suspected cases. There have been the first two deaths in La Paz in the past 24hrs, a 52-year-old male and a 26-year-old female, both were infected by contact in BCS. In Baja California, there are 35 confirmed cases and 174 suspected cases.

There are still only these few confirmed cases in BCS but testing has been sparse and I hear it costs 3300 pesos, so that discourages any but  the well-off and determined from testing.  I also had heard though that the tests are free in Loreto, so as with all the news it is hard to know what to believe.

I have to go shopping for food and maybe some fishing gear.  Looks to be getting risky.

We raised anchor, motored back to La Paz and docked. Along the way, I smelled the alternator belt getting hot.  I could not tighten the belt enough with the tools I have at hand and it slips. It lasted the trip and I do have replacements'

Once back, we chilled a while and mid-afternoon, took a sightseeing spin around the bay in the dinghy.

Supper was beans and rice, and after we watched more of The Burden of Truth.

Progress isn't made by early risers.
It's made by lazy men trying to find easier ways to do something.
Robert A. Heinlein

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Thursday April 2nd 2020

Today Mainly sunny. Wind up to 15 km/h. High minus 7. Wind chill minus 24 this morning and minus 12 this afternoon. UV index 4 or moderate.
Tonight A few clouds. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 16. Wind chill minus 12 this evening and minus 24 overnight.

Up at 0530.  We're going grocery shopping this morning and then G leaves for the airport to fly home.  Right now, we are waiting for the VHF net at eight for the latest news before calling for Uber.

I see that weather at home is finally moderating, meaning less heating load.

German Infectologist Decimates COVID-19 Doomsday Cult In Open Letter To Merkel
The is good reason for disagreement over the risks of the virus and the worry about lasting societal damage. People naturally worry about deaths.  Deaths are unavoidable, but social upheaval is not.

Questioning or opposition to extreme measures has largely been deprecated and suppressed due to the urge to "Do Something", but should be carefully considered. There are times when doing nothing is the best course of (in)action.  Take this from a guy who is in the demographic crosshairs of this virus and really does not want it, but understands the inevitability of the consequences of both options on society and can project the ultimate costs.

My biggest concern is that the societal damage from the forces being unleashed by the precautions will be far more serious than the effects of the illness itself.  Unintended consequences lurk in the wings.

Clearly, we are approaching the point where the precautions are very likely to cause more deaths from anxiety, starvation, suicide, desperation, crime, and civil unrest than from the disease itself and where the lasting societal damage will scar us for generations much like the Great Depression did to generations previous to mine.

War measures make sense when there is an external enemy but this situation is different.  The enemy is among us and impossible to identify before it presents.

We saw what extreme measures did to stop the spread of tracheal and varroa mites. Nothing.  The measures, however did divide the beekeeping community and did serious damage to many beekeepers and put others out of business.  Some were spared the arrival of the mites for a while, and a very few isolated operations never did get the mites.

As with the bee mites, bee viruses and bacterial bee diseases, we may just have to learn to carry on and live with this virus the way we have with all the other coronaviruses. 

Read this and understand, if you can:

Gen. Spalding (Ret.): China must be held accountable for the Wuhan Coronavirus ravaging the world

Then...

Earlier, on Day One, when I said that this is The Big One, and that WWIII is well underway, this article explains better than I can what I have been seeing hidden in plain sight.

Unrestricted Warfare
Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui

(Excerpts below)

"In this way, technology has achieved startling and explosive developments in a rather short period of time, and this has resulted in innumerable benefits for mankind, which is anxious for quick success and instant rewards. However, we proudly term this technological progress, not realizing that at this time we have already consigned ourselves to a benighted technological age in which we have lost our hearts" (emphasis mine)

<snip>

There is absolutely no doubt that the appearance of information technology has been good news for human civilization. This is because it is the only thing to date that is capable of infusing greater energy into the technological "plague" that has been released from Pandora's box, and at the same time it also provides a magic charm as a means of controlling it

<snip>

War in the age of technological integration and globalization has eliminated the right of weapons to label war and, with regard to the new starting point, has realigned the relationship of weapons to war, while the appearance of weapons of new concepts, and particularly new concepts of weapons, has gradually blurred the face of war.

<snip>

When we suddenly realize that all these non-war actions may be the new factors constituting future warfare, we have to come up with a new name for this new form of war: Warfare which transcends all boundaries and limits, in short: unrestricted warfare.

If this name becomes established, this kind of war means that all means will be in readiness, that information will be omnipresent, and the battlefield will be everywhere. (emphasis mine)

It means that all weapons and technology can be superimposed at will, it means that all the boundaries lying between the two worlds of war and non-war, of military and non-military, will be totally destroyed, and it also means that many of the current principles of combat will be modified, and even that the rules of war may need to be rewritten.

(there is more, much more).

 

I leave it to you to read the rest.

Oh, yeah.  The corollary, if you find the thesis too dense, is simply this.  One man/woman can have more might than an army!

We listened to the VHF net then went to Chedraui and had no issues except there is a limit on eggs per order.  We only got one flat.

Back at the boat, we put things away, then went to he clubhouse to kill an hour and had the privilege of explaining cloth diapers to a young cruising mother before G had to go.

I called her an Uber and she is gone, off to Sacramento to recover her dog, her car with expired plates, and drive home to Utah.

I'm here on Baja Magic at the dock, deciding what is next.  Word is that the order has been given to close all hotels and beaches by April 6th. (left).

G is gone and I'm seeing signs that I'd better get out of Dodge ASAP.  I came to town to drop her off and provision.  I need a few more things and I am good to go.

 I may stay here tonight to finish things up but had better leave before the port is closed.

I went for drinking water at the RO outlet, then walked to Pemex for 20 litres of diesel, carrying the 20 litre jug in my knapsack.  Cost was 389 pesos or 19.45 pesos/l. That is $CAD 1.12/l. At Costa Baja I paid $1.85CAD/litre or 27 pesos/litre).  I siphoned the contents into the tank, then walked back for another jugful.

It appears the tank had been down maybe 60 litres, but not necessarily from the last trip as I had been out a time or two after fueling at Costa Baja on March 2nd and the tanks may have been down a bit after that fill since the drain valve was closed, not open as I had thought at the time.


        Siphoning fuel                                    Full Tank.
(Empty means full. This gauge reads backwards)


     Before                    After 20litres              After 40 litres

Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work.
Thomas A. Edison

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Friday April 3rd 2020

Today Cloudy. 30 percent chance of flurries early this morning. Periods of snow beginning this morning. Amount 2 cm. Wind southeast 20 km/h becoming light this afternoon. High minus 3. Wind chill minus 24 this morning and minus 8 this afternoon. UV index 1 or low.
Tonight Periods of snow. Amount 2 cm. Wind becoming northwest 20 km/h this evening. Low minus 10. Wind chill minus 9 this evening and minus 18 overnight.

I'm up at 0444 and still at the dock in La Paz, decompressing. I have some errands to run.  Some important, some less so.  I have to weigh the risks of going uptown, but without any real data to assess the risk.

I'm hearing that outgoing boats are being stopped at Punta Prieta today and asked ages and destinations. I may have stayed here at the dock too long.

I listened to the net, then walked to the parking lot to leave my propane bottle and continued onto the Pemex for 20 more litres of diesel.

On returning I heard the navy is going around to the boats telling people to stay in port and stay on their boats. That news is not good for me.

I got extra diesel and extra propane and extra food because I don't know how serious this lockdown will get or for how long.

I ordered a custom-made mask for 200 pesos and hope it is stylish.  I emailed my bank to see if I can make a withdrawal today in case banks are required to close soon.

My propane comes back at two and the mask about the same time. No word from the bank.

The Dow and TSE are down again today. Any news on the virus front is hardly worth reporting.  We've been watching it come and now it is here.

The bank says it is open, so here I go...  But first I need to make sure I know what I am going for besides money.  Fuel and oil filters and oil, a crowbar...

Before I left, I drained the transmission again.  It looked really brown still, but not too bad in the picture.

Well, I Ubered to Walmart and see that the Uber price has dropped.  Drivers say there is no business.  The price was so cheap that I gave a tip.  I usually don't tip unless there is exceptional service, but I know the drivers cannot pay for their cars at this price and I sympathize.

This lockdown simply cannot continue for long.  People will get used to the risk and the attrition and carry on. People need to work and not just for sustenance.

There were no eggs at Walmart but I got other things I need and the trip was a real relief.  People were carrying on as usual, but respecting the one-metre spacing in lines. Of the clients, about half were wearing masks and almost all the staff were.  I did, because I am a guest here.

On my return, the propane was back, so I retrieved it.  I have yet to get a crowbar and the oil and filters.

G emailed me to call her friend who was to meet her tonight in Sacramento and I did.  Her onward trip from Guadalajara was cancelled.  She managed to find a flight to LAX but there is nothing onward to Sacramento or even San Francisco.  Then she found she can catch a flight with LDS missionaries to Salt Lake, but her dog and car are in Sacramento.

I had supper and watched more of The Burden of Truth and went to bed.

A Boomer Elegy: To Millennials & Gen-X'ers, "I Am Sincerely Sorry"
He has clear eyes.
It's the truth.

Optimism is a happiness magnet.
If you stay positive, good things and good people will be drawn to you.
Mary Lou Retton

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Saturday April 4th 2020

Today Mainly cloudy. 60 percent chance of flurries this morning. Wind north 20 km/h becoming light near noon. High minus 3. Wind chill minus 19 this morning and minus 7 this afternoon. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Mainly cloudy. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 11. Wind chill minus 7 this evening and minus 18 overnight.

What to do today?  I have everything I really need to get out of town so maybe I should go.  I have yet to fill the transmission with fresh oil, but otherwise I am ready to leave for the islands -- if I don't get stopped by the navy on the way out of the channel.

So far, word is that they are merely stopping boats to ask about destinations and number of people because they don't want groups partying on the beaches. 

I see the current will be strong soon, but I have a clear space to get clear of the dock now with other boats having gone.

Although at the stores yesterday one would hardly know a lockdown has been announced, it is getting more strict daily and word is getting around. The Malecon is closed to walking and people are told to walk singly and at a two metre distance from others.  As a guest in this country, I have been careful to observe the rules as best I can.

What you should know about DIY masks and ventilators

Useless gestures Department
San Francisco Bans Reusable Bags To Counter Virus-Contagion Threat
This is irony at its best. 
Virtue-signaling vs. Virtue-signaling.

I decided not to rush out to an anchorage seeing as my dock and power are paid here and there are things I can do anywhere.  It seems that there are no restrictions on cruisers leaving or arriving from other Mexican regions.

This just in from John Mauldin, but you heard it here first long ago:

"But we also need truth from China. There are persistent reports that COVID-19 came from a research facility near the Wuhan wet market. It apparently originated in the “horseshoe bat” which lives over 900 miles away from Wuhan. It would not naturally be there, except that researchers at the labs were looking at those bats trying to understand the coronavirus.

"We know this because of all the research published both before the crisis and after by Chinese researchers, scientists and epidemiologists. There are many of them. Pictures of awards being given for research back in 2018 on this very topic. Even David Ignatius at the Washington Post says there must be more to the story.

"Occam’s Razor says to choose the simplest explanation. You don’t have to get into conspiracy or weaponization. This may well have been a screwup in containment that the Chinese government doesn’t want to admit, and could ultimately kill millions. It will devastate the poor nations of the world. It has already made its way into the Amazon where they have no healthcare and no ability to “social distance,” or even understand the meaning of it.

 

A very intelligent discussion of the virus and the potential social effects
Perspectives on the Pandemic | Episode 1
Dr John Ioannidis of Stanford University
Perspectives on the Pandemic Episode 1: Dealing with Coronavirus, a fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data.

Perspectives on the Pandemic | Episode 2
Professor Knut Wittkowski

I don't know about you but I am already tired of this excess.  Shutting down the world is not an option.

India Drags China To International Court For COVID-19 War
Good One!

The coronavirus pandemic is the breakthrough Xi Jinping has been waiting for. And he’s making his move.
Obviously--and you heard it here first.

The Shadow War Playing Out Behind The COVID-19 Crisis

China has a huge advantage.  China can sacrifice lives and futures in ways that democracies cannot and they are using it. I think we have been duped--again.

We are only days and weeks away from a social breakdown and revolt by the public as the novelty of the new measures wear off and as people run out of food, funds and hope. Wait for it.

This whole exercise id orchestrated by elites who never have to worry about food or rent but much of the populace lives hand to mouth.  Interestingly, I hear hat the gov't employees who are laid off are still being paid.

I had two things to do today: return the crowbar and have a shower. It is four and I just had the shower, so it was a full day.

What do you make of this?
COVID-19 Hoax: Citizen reporters

And this...?
Questioning Conventional Wisdom in the COVID-19 Crisis, with Dr. Jay Bhattacharya

Even if I knew that tomorrow the world would go to pieces,
I would still plant my apple tree.
Martin Luther

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Sunday April 5th 2020

Today Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries. Wind southeast 20 km/h gusting to 40. High minus 2. Wind chill minus 18 this morning and minus 8 this afternoon. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Periods of snow. Amount 2 cm. Wind southeast 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low minus 5. Wind chill near minus 9.

I plan to leave with the tide this morning, We're now on daylight time here in La Paz.  I hope my tides app knows about the change. 

*   *   *   *   *

i shoved off at slack and motored out to Punta Prieta.  I had been told that cruisers had been turned back by the navy, but encountered no other vessels and am currently off Pichilingue sailing downwind on a southerly breeze.

The day is cool and overcast and my destination?  Anywhere and everywhere.

*   *   *   *   *

Looking at my surveillance cameras, I noticed my furnace feed auger was bare again and called MLE, waking her.  The bin auger switch has not clicked on.  That happens once in a while. So, I figure I should stay where I have Internet for a while.  Otherwise I am thinking San Evaristo again or maybe Agua Verde or Loreto.

*   *   *   *   *

I'm also considering looking to see if there is any way to get back to Canada these days, especially if these draconian civil measures result in unrest and larceny.  It was announced yesterday that alcohol sales are suspended after tonight until the end of the month. This measure is intended to reduce risk if domestic violence, but it could easily have the opposite effect and exacerbate the discontent and cause unrest.

*   *   *   *   *

This whole coronavirus thing is starting to look like a mass hallucination and an extreme case of groupthink, led by the usual panic-pusses who subscribe to the precautionary principal but forever neglect to see the collateral damage of their' solutions'.

Frankly, I was taken in  by the hype at first, especially with a 101-year old mother to worry about, but it is clear the social effects and eventual mortality from the 'precautions' are going to be far, far worse than the likely effect of the virus itself would have been if left unchecked. 

Either way, people are going to die and I am guessing far more will die from the 'precautions' and the aftereffects.  But they will be different people. Not the privileged, but the 'ordinary' people who carry the burdens and their children.

Concerns about the vulnerability of the elderly, the half-dead, and the random occasional deaths of younger folks are real concerns and are made very prominent as the unscrupulous media makes a huge deal of each, but what is not shown is the plight of the daily workers who are laid off and their families. Young children suffer from being kept from schools as this is sometimes where they get their meals.

Look at what it is already doing to the poor people in places like India where poor workers are laid off in the cities and walking long distances, sometimes hundreds of kilometers back to their towns of origin in hopes of aid.  I am sure the laid-off workers here in Mexico, are suffering already, too.

They say statistics can't lie but liars can figure.  There is a huge upside in this for some empire builders. 

Despite the weeping, wailing, and gnashing of teeth, the deaths in Italy (left) and worldwide lately don't seem to be an increase over normal.

Some pandemic!

Excuse me for mentioning this; I know it is really not PC, but IMO, far too much is being made of the risks for the the medical frontline workers. There is also a strong emphasis on protecting the Boomers, possibly to the detriment of the later generations, especially children.

They are a small number of people and their concerns, real or imagined, should not dominate the discussion over the interests of society at large (sorry).

The workers can quit if they care to, but IMO their interests should not dominate the discussion. The tail has been wagging the dog.  The risks and the load with exceptions appear to be greatly exaggerated.  False news? Apparently many facilities are empty when citizen reporters go to see the line-ups.

There is no justification for shutting down the world.  The health care workers did sign up for the job and many are extremely well-paid.

Granted, many are dedicated and I salute them.

Yes, some die, but let's face it. Some are not fit and some of the medical staff are just a few steps from death's door anyhow. It is the same problem as with the general population.  Did they die of the virus, or was it just a bystander when the other diseases took them down?  Statistically, some medical people die every day on the job.  It happens.

People die. I think I can say this because I am old and probably a good candidate for the exit as well.  I've heard this virus called the Boomer Remover.  Frankly, I find that hilarious.

Let's get real folks.

The kids apparently are hardly affected by this bug.

The world must go on for the coming generations.  Forget catering to us geezers and the medical-industrial complex.

We need to think about the kids who are missing school, missing meals, and being scarred for life. 

Let's get on with it and take our lumps. 

How Gullible Politicians Promoted the Destruction of the Global Economy and Threw Us into the Abyss of Serfdom

Is Our Fight Against Coronavirus Worse Than the Disease?

*   *   *   *   *

Okay.  And now there is this.  From Facebook.
What we see depends on where we are standing.

A single death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic.
Iosif Vissarionovich Stalin

*   *   *   *   *

A navy inflatable just zipped through the anchorage playing an announcement in Spanish, and left.  I imagine it was telling us to stay home, beaches are closed, etc. They did not approach Baja Magic or the other two boats anchored here. I think they are just going through the motions.  Kids with a fast boat and time on their hands.

When Will The Coronavirus Lockdowns Be Lifted? Here Are One Bank's Estimates

Interesting article.  Lots of Post hoc, propter hoc here. Where are the countries that did nothing???

I had a swim, had supper, watched Hap and Leonard on Netflix, checked the anchor, then went to bed.

"Set in the late 1980's Hap and Leonard is a darkly comic swamp noir of two best friends, one femme fatale, a crew of washed up revolutionaries, a pair of murderous psycho killers, some lost loot, and the fuzz."

The only thing worse than being blind is having sight but no vision.
Helen Keller

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Monday April 6th 2020

Today Periods of snow ending this morning then clearing. Local amount 2 to 4 cm. Wind becoming north 20 km/h this morning. High plus 2. Wind chill minus 10 this morning. UV index 4 or moderate.
Tonight Clear. Increasing cloudiness after midnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 6. Wind chill minus 8 overnight.

I hear it is snowing in Calgary this morning with hopes of reaching freezing this week.  Here, it is 24 degrees C.

I slept poorly and woke up sweating.  My lower back was a little sore.  I thought, "Oh my goodness. Do I have a fever?  Maybe I shouldn't kid around about the 'Boomer Remover'."  Then I looked at the thermometer.  I sleep in a sweatsuit, so of course I am sweating. 

BTW, I am not a Boomer. Although there is no agreement on exact years, by most standards, I'm a little too old to belong to that demographic cohort and am considered one of the Silent Generation. (Silent?  Really? I guess I didn't get the memo)

*   *   *   *   *

I see my bin auger failed to start again.  I'll give MLE a little time to wake up before alerting her.

*   *   *   *   *

At seven the day is just dawning.  Normally, it would be daylight by now but we're now on so-called Daylight Saving Time.  DST is just one more example of a huge inconvenience foisted on us by governments based on completely faulty assumptions.

*   *   *   *   *

I see the stock markets are' way up at the opening.  Hope springs eternal. Let's see how this goes.

*   *   *   *   *

Fact check: Could your December cough actually have been coronavirus?
Experts say more research is needed
Experts always say that.  That's how they get funding.

Bedridden for days, young Canadians with COVID-19 say illness is ‘no joke
Neither is the flu.

Youngest COVID-19 death so far in Canada is Alberta woman in her 20s
As of Sunday morning, three people between the ages of 20 and 39 had died.
Dr. Deena Hinshaw, the province’s chief medical officer of health, confirmed the young woman’s death on Friday, adding it is “not clear at this time if she had any underlying health conditions.”

Aw, come on now. Enough smoke and mirrors. What did she really die of?  And, how many people between 20 and 39 die daily in Alberta when there is no virus to associate with it?  I'm betting more than three.  Here is some data. I'm not going to tease out the facts, but you get the idea.

*   *   *   *   *

I know this is news to many in this entitled fantasy 2020 world, but everyone dies sometime.  People die and sometimes for no apparent reason.  Others die for multiple reasons, but, regardless life goes on.  Or it should.

*   *   *   *   *

Interestingly, the spam in my spambox has dropped to only a few a day. Every cloud has a silver lining.

*   *   *   *   *

I wrote yesterday:

AD >>It was announced yesterday that alcohol sales are suspended after tonight until the end of the month. This measure is intended to reduce risk if domestic violence, but it could easily have the opposite effect and exacerbate the discontent and cause unrest.

Brian replied:

BF > You got pranked. There is a hoax going around that alcohol sales in Canada are suspended for 3 months. It is reported as false. Online searches actually show an increase in alcohol sales.

AD Actually, I'm in Mexico, in Baja California Sur. A Ley Seca was announced for some regions during Semana Santa but there is confusion as to where it applies. Regardless, the major beer breweries are shutting down, being considered non-essential enterprises. More.

AD >> I know it is really not PC, but IMO, far too much is being made of the risks for the the medical frontline workers.

BF > In my state of Ohio, 20% of confirmed Covid-19 infections are medical personnel. 823 out of 4,043 cases.

AD To be expected, especially given the lack of preparation. Most will recover, but health professionals are no more healthy than any cross-section of the population. Age profile is probably clustered somewhere around middle-age. Some will have it worse.

AD Have you found anything about susceptibility by race? I lost my reference.  There is no shortage of data by age, but none about race and very little about pre-existing conditions or those with DNRs. 

AD An inconvenient but important fact is that many old folks have had enough of life and are hoping to die soon but won't pull the pin due to social concerns or religious worries, or cannot qualify for assisted death. Many have DNRs but often DNRs go unnoticed or are ignored by the medical industry.

AD >> When Will The Coronavirus Lockdowns Be Lifted? Here Are One Bank's Estimates. Interesting article.  Lots of Post hoc, propter hoc here. Where are the countries that did nothing???

BF >So far, Belarus is the only country I know of which is doing nothing.  Lukashenko has pretty much just said vodka is all they need.  Belarus is a very poor country.  They can't afford to shut down, and their medical care isn't prepared to deal with Covid-19.  It'll be interesting to see how Belarus fares compares to other nations.  I suspect Belarus will get little attention, unless they have a high death count, and then we will probably hear nothing about Belarus after the virus has burned through all the half-dead people.

AD Thanks for that. Always good to hear from you. How about this one?


in San Blas.  That is in Nayarit state, just across the water from here.

*   *   *   *   *

Okay.  Here we go...  We destroyed our economies for nothing.

"Chinese authorities effectively acknowledged their data were flawed when they announced last week that they would now start including asymptomatic cases in their case numbers — millions of people".

Here is some good information from a doctor I trust.

And good advice from a regular contributor:

Useful information from a retired respiratory therapist:

Some common sense wisdom for those that have the virus and are trying to stay home. If followed as given you will improve your chances of not ending up in the hospital on a ventilator. This applies to the otherwise generally healthy population, so use discretion.

1. Only high temperatures kill a virus, so let your fever run high. Tylenol, Advil. Motrin, Ibuprofen etc. will bring your fever down allowing the virus to live longer. They are saying that ibuprofen will actually exacerbate the virus. Use common sense and don't let fever go over 103 or 104. If it gets higher than that take your tylenol, notIbuprofen or advil to keep it regulated. It helps to keep the house warm and cover up with blankets so your body does not have to work so hard to generate the heat. It usually takes about 3 days of this to break the fever.

2. The body is going to dehydrate with the elevated temperature so you must rehydrate yourself regularly, whether you like it or not. Gatorade with real sugar, or pedialyte with real sugar for kids, works well. Why the sugar? Sugar will give your body back the energy it is using up to create the fever. The electrolytes and fluid you are losing will also be replenished by the Gatorade. If you don't do this and end up in the hospital they will start an IV and give you D5W (sugar water) and Normal Saline to replenish electrolytes. Gatorade is much cheaper, pain free, and comes in an assortment of flavors

3. You must keep your lungs moist. Best done by taking long steamy showers on a regular basis, if you’re wheezing or congested use a real minty toothpaste and brush your teeth while taking the steamy shower and deep breathe through your mouth. This will provide some bronchial dilation and help loosen the phlegm. Force yourself to cough into a wet wash cloth pressed firmly over your mouth and nose, which will cause greater pressure in your lungs forcing them to expand more and break loose more of the congestion.

4. Eat healthy and regularly. Gotta keep your strength up.

5. Once the fever breaks, start moving around to get the body back in shape and blood circulating.

6. Deep breathe on a regular basis, even when it hurts. If you don't it becomes easy to develop pneumonia. Pursed lip breathing really helps. That's breathing in deep and slow then exhaling through tight lips as if your blowing out a candle, blow until you have completely emptied your lungs. Then you will be able to breathe in an even deeper breath. This helps keep lungs expanded as well as increasing your oxygen level.

7. Remember that every medication you take is merely relieving the symptoms, not making you well.

8. If you’re still dying go to ER.

 p.s. For those who don't like Gatorade (or other sport drinks), I would think fruit juice is a good alternative.

Some time back (2014?) I wondered about my respiratory condition, having been a welder and also heavy smoker at one time. I was concerned about possible COPD developing and also wondering about sleep apnea.

I saw a sleep therapist and wore a monitor that indicated I was marginal for apnea, so I borrowed a CPAP device for trial, returned it, and later bought an APAP device. 

Subsequent study I did with the APAP machine and studying the topic on some very useful online forums led me to conclude that my few and slight apneas tended to be minor and to be centrals.  Centrals are not helped by CPAP and can actually be a product of CPAP, as I understand it.

I used APAP for a while, but the issues went away and most of the time the device caused more sleep disturbance than it alleviated, but occasionally thereafter I did find the device to be helpful.

I also went to have a professional lung capacity test done in Calgary and my results came out not too badly for an old guy with terrible habits.  But, yes, I did abuse my lungs when I was younger.  I had no idea I would live this long or that it would turn out to be much, much, nicer than being young.

Anyhow, to get back the the advice, one thing the sleep guy told me and I doubted at the time but Catherine reinforced just now was forced breathing and I do practice it when I remember which is mostly when I cannot get back to sleep.  I also inhale as much as I can and then some more and then some more, then hold it in a while.  That and getting up and stretching arms and legs works.

What the sleep guy suggested and it sounds weird was to take a Coke bottle with some water in it and a soda straw and blow out through the straw, making bubbles as long as you can--and then some more.  He said doing that regularly will clear up some breathing issues.

I learned I also inhale as much as I can and then some more and then some more, then hold it in a while and to exhale far beyond my normal limit from the lung capacity measuring lady. When she was measuring my lung capacity with the technical equipment I would indicate, 'that is all I can do' and she would say inhale more and I did. Same with exhaling. That was illuminating.

Going before our normal limits takes effort.  We don't usually use much of our lung capacity.  We learn about that when SCUBA diving, too, as divers control buoyancy to stay near but off the sea bottom by adjusting how much air we keep in our lungs as we breathe in and out.

Chloroquine Is Not a Ready-to-Go Wonder Drug for COVID-19
Anything we can find online has an equal and opposite viewpoint

Chloroquine Side Effects

White House COVID-19 Mortality Estimates Fall By 90%
it is true. They did.

And we are destroying  the economy based on that modeling?

Weapon of Mass destruction?  Fooled again.
 Works every time.

Next: Let's Expose the Climate Lies that are being used to destroy our energy complex.

New updates from Dr. Vladimir Zelenko: Cocktail of Hydroxychloroquine, Zinc Sulfate and Azithromycin are showing phenomenon results with 900 coronavirus patients treated – Must Watch Video

Hydroxychloroquine Side Effects
Taking hydroxychloroquine long-term or at high doses may cause irreversible damage to the retina of your eye. Stop taking hydroxychloroquine and call your doctor at once if you have trouble focusing, if you see light streaks or flashes in your vision, or if you notice any swelling or color changes in your eyes.

Carl, 40, had seizures and visual problems of "coronary medicine"
From chloroquine.  Not Paquenil.
Every drug has its risks.

User Reviews for Hydroxychloroquine
Also known as: Plaquenil, Quineprox

Sounds like something to take for the prescribed period and quit.

The marina wrote and asked where I am, when I left, how many on board and when I will be back.  I answered all except where I am and said ten days.  That seemed to satisfy them.  We'll see.  I hope I am not in trouble with the shelter in place orders in effect.

My day was spent on board doing basically nothing as one can likely tell from  my postings.

I made spaghetti and ate it all. Now, at supper time, it should get dark soon, but with DST, I'll have an extra unwanted hour of daylight.

I'm going to watch Netflix and go to bed soon.

Well, I'm depressed by all this lockdown and isolation.  The overcast day, rain, and time change did not help.

I was counting on Hap and Leonard to entertain but the series turned ugly and stupid like so much of the video made these days and I turned it off.  I hate to try anything else on the menu. Netflix is turning out to be a hopeless wasteland of trash.  Who watches this stuff, and why?

Let's see how tomorrow looks.

I sat down and did some Duolingo and was impressed by how far I have come, seemingly without practicing for several months. 

Frankly, I have come to dislike Duolingo due to repetition that often is too basic and irrelevant to areas which challenge me.  The stupid owl or whatever it is supposed to be, the need to double confirm each time, the sounds, and the 'rewards' are annoying, too, and the audio is unclear sometimes, but I have to admit it has taught me a lot.

Don't find fault, find a remedy.
Henry Ford

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Tuesday April 7th 2020

Today Periods of light snow ending late this morning then mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries. Wind becoming north 20 km/h this morning. High plus 3. Wind chill minus 9 this morning. UV index 4 or moderate.
Tonight Mainly cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries this evening. Clearing overnight. Wind north 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low minus 10. Wind chill minus 15 overnight.

I woke in a better frame of mind this morning and realise that maybe listening to Spanish lessons to put me to sleep had accomplished as much or more than Duolingo.

The sun came up an hour late again.  Damn DST anyhow. 

today promises to be sunny which would be nice after yesterday's dullness and sprinkles.  I'll go snorkeling if it warms up, but wonder what kind of trouble I might get into. 

Governments worldwide have canceled all fun and Mexico is no exception. Everyone is supposed to be staying indoors and the beaches are closed, whatever that means. I'm anchored in the bay off the beach.  Apparently cruising boats can come and go, but are discouraged from day trips.  I'm sure everyone is confused.

Baja Magic is one of only five boats anchored here at Playa Pichilingue. All have people on board, but all are keeping a low profile.  I may go sailing later and move further out but have been staying close to home as I needed Internet when the bin auger was not starting.  It appears to be working again this morning.

There is one guy on the beach and he has been there for a week or so with his sailboat on a trailer and his possessions including a motorbike. I assume he is living on the the boat on the trailer on shore. The boat was anchored near the beach for weeks previously.  The Argentinean families in their campers are gone and I assume they were chased off, but he remains.

I hear on the net today that what I am doing here in the bay is okay with the authorities as long as I don't raft up or socialize with other boats or go to the beach.

I just read your latest post regarding deep inhalation/pursed lip forced exhalation. Your own story about being taught to breath that way reminded me that that's also what I was required to do, over a period of several days, when I had a punctured and collapsed lung, in order to get the collapsed lung to fully inflate and function again (it was so long ago I'd forgotten!). Be well.

The stock markets are on an upswing again today. I'm assuming this is a bull trap.  There is no way we are not headed into recession or depression, but what do I know?

Nomura: This Is Nothing More Than A Giant "Bear Squeeze" Rally
That's my guess.

We'll have to wait a few weeks to see.

Technically Speaking:
 The 4-Phases Of A Full-Market Cycle

We're just starting the bounce.

This afternoon, I went snorkeling.  The water near the boat is very clear but as I approached shore I found the water got murky and there were fewer fish than last time.  I managed to get a few photos, though.

After I returned and showered on the stern, I noticed people swimming off neighbouring boats.

    

Chinese Scientists Find Genetic Explanation For Coronavirus Discriminating By Race

Looking back a few years, back to H1N1, I came across this quote.

Deja Vue all over again?

 

Ethnic differences in susceptibilities to A(H1N1) flu: An epidemic parameter indicating a weak viral virulence

"...In fact, it is already well recognized by the scientific community that the new H1N1 virus is far less virulent than what was predicted by official authorities even without the present prospective evaluation of its virulence.

Compared to the predicted daily death rate of about 1000 patients from seasonal flu (250,000 to 500,000 fatal cases per year), the H1N1 flu caused an average less than 30 deaths daily in the past six months (Goodman et al., 2006; Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 - update 72).

The lack of a commonly accepted criteria for the prospective evaluation of viral virulence caused a certain confusion in the public community between the WHO’s alert stages and the viral virulence degrees (WHO), and led to some misinterpretations on its viral virulence."...

At a risk of appearing to be a fanatic, I submit this preliminary study I found in my search for a table came across earlier showing ACE-2 expression in ethnic groups.

Single-cell RNA expression profiling of ACE2, the putative receptor of Wuhan 2019-nCov

We further compared the characteristics of the donors and their ACE2 expressing patterns. No association was detected between the ACE2-expressing cell number and the age or smoking status of donors. Of note, the 2 male donors have a higher ACE2-expressing cell ratio than all other 6 female donors (1.66% vs. 0.41% of all cells, P value=0.07, Mann Whitney Test).

In addition, the distribution of ACE2 is also more widespread in male donors than females: at least 5 different types of cells in male lung express this receptor, while only 2~4 types of cells in female lung express the receptor. This result is highly consistent with the epidemic investigation showing that most of the confirmed 2019-nCov infected patients were men (30 vs. 11, by Jan 2, 2020).

We also noticed that the only Asian donor (male) has a much higher ACE2-expressing cell ratio than white and African American donors (2.50% vs. 0.47% of all cells). This might explain the observation that the new Coronavirus pandemic and previous SARS-Cov pandemic are concentrated in the Asian area.

 

Along that line, Brian submitted this:

As of today, Ohio has 4,782 confirmed cases.  The state just published key metrics, including race.
https://coronavirus.ohio.gov/wps/portal/gov/covid-19/dashboards/key-metrics-cases/

Covid-19 cases (number of cases and percent of total)
White 2483 52%
Unknown 1114 23%
Black 914 19%
Other 130 3%
Asian 82 2%
Multi-racial 56 1%
Native American 2 0%
Pacific Islander 1 0%


I would disregard patient data for races that are a low percentage of the population.  In order for the patient data to correlate to the population as a whole to extrapolate susceptibility, we must assume that all races have equal exposure to the virus. When we have a very limited number of people from a certain race, it heavily skews the numbers one way or the other.

The "unknown race" category really throws a blanket over the data, but even if we assume that the unknown category is whites who do not wish to be identified by race, that would mean 75% of cases (at most) are white in a state that is 81.5% white.  Why are whites underrepresented in Covid cases?

It should also be noted that the biggest outbreak in Ohio is in the Cleveland metropolitan area.  Cleveland is 46.6% black, 34.1% white, and 12.3% Hispanic.  The capital of Columbus is 54.3% white, 29% black, and 6% Asian.  The outbreak in central Ohio around Columbus has been much smaller than the outbreak in Cleveland.  Is this due to race, affluence in Columbus, population density in the Cleveland projects?  I do not know.

The mortality metrics are especially revealing.  167 deaths so far.
48% of deaths - age 80+
26% - age 70-79
18% - 60-69
7% - 50-59
1 death in the 30-39, and 1 death in the 40-49 age range. No deaths reported under age 30.

The Race and Ethnicity of people who died is meaningless because of the high percentage of "unknown". 60% of dead are white, and another 25% are unknown. 13% are black.

It's a possibility that the unknown race are mixed race mulattos.  But it would appear that whites are underrepresented in Covid cases, and underrepresented in Covid deaths, when compared to the white distribution in the population as a whole.  But this could be due to the vast majority of the cases in Ohio being in metropolitan areas which are much less white than the state as a whole.

It should be noted that 20% of Covid cases in Ohio are medical workers. They tend to be better educated and whiter.  They are also in the under 60 age range.

As a side note...a coworker's wife is a nurse.  The hospital she works at is talking about requiring nurses and medical workers to live at the hospital. He was saying that she would work 8 hours, off 4, work 8 hours, off 4.

But when 20% of the Covid cases are medical workers...maybe authorities are realizing that medical workers may be the biggest source of new infections...and they are spreading it to everyone else.  By making medical workers stay at the hospital, they are quarantining them away from uninfected members of the public.

I do not know what percentage of Covid cases are family members of medical workers.

Brian

Anything can be COVID-19: As pandemic grinds on, doctors find early definitions of disease were too narrow
'We're seeing so many strange presentations of this that basically we're in a state where almost anybody coming in with anything is a potential COVID case'

The health versus the economy debate will come, but it's a false choice
Ending restrictions on businesses and public gatherings will not automatically restart the economy

I have been really really disappointed with the selection on Netflix lately and remembered that there are secret codes to find genres that Netflix for some reason does not present on their annoying opening page so I did a search.  Here are two pages that turned up. One Two.  I used the clickable #2 to chose comedies and immediately found Ghost Busters (the classic original with Bill Murray not the lame remake) and all was good.  Oddly, there do not seem to be a lot of harmless comedies on offer compared to the crap Netflix pushes on us.

If you can't make it good, at least make it look good.
Bill Gates

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Wednesday April 8th 2020

Today Sunny. Becoming a mix of sun and cloud this afternoon. Wind becoming northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 this morning. High plus 4. Wind chill minus 9 this morning. UV index 6 or high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. Wind northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low minus 12. Wind chill minus 15 overnight.

I was roused at six by the boat rocking corner to corner and a can or something rolling back and forth in a locker somewhere on board.  The swell has started from the southwest and the breeze is from the south so the boat is rocking strangely.

I've been congested a bit since midnight or so and went on a hunt at one point during the night for some desloratadine which I was sure I have and do not seem to be able to find. I did some deep breathing and holding breath earlier, but the only thing that fixes this is getting up and staying up a while.

I got up just after six and went up top.  A full moon is thirty degrees off the horizon to the west.  The temperature in and out is 21.5. the sun is nowhere to be seen yet. DST.

Here comes another day of surprises. 

At home the pond is still covered with snow and ice.  Most years before the bogus Global Warming we have had runoff on March 17th +/-.  Not this year. Runoff looks unlikely this week and that makes it almost a month late.

I got to wondering about the regular influenza vs. the WuFlu and figures WHO should be the source of data for both to make a fair comparison.

What is really going on???

More People Died Of Suicide Last Week In Tennessee Than COVID-19

Why Lockdown? Ignorance Cover-up Conspiracy or Trauma?
i read Worlds in Collision and have my doubts about the thesis, but it is a stimulating read.

TRUMP: SUICIDES FROM THE COMING ECONOMIC DEPRESSION WILL FAR SURPASS THOSE FROM THE VIRUS

President Trump on economy: "We can't turn that off and think it's going to be wonderful. There'll be tremendous repercussions. There will be tremendous death...probably more death from that than anything that we're talking about with respect to the virus."

At this point, we are simply swapping some deaths or others. The bottom line is that people don’t have lives if they don’t have livelihoods and the chance to live out their dreams in freedom.

The Government Wants to Decide What Items Are Essential Purchases and What are Things You’re Not Allowed to Buy

Well, I registered as out of country with the Canadian Government and the warnings are getting on my nerves. They are saying that Mexico may enter phase three and shelter in place orders may be coming soon.  I thought they were already in place, but what do I know?  I guess we are still in Phase two here.

Word today is:

"April 5 brought the third death in La Paz, Baja California Sur. In Baja California, there are 136 confirmed cases and 345 suspected cases and 12 deaths.  On April 7 it was reported that 42 medical staff at The IMSS hospital in Cabo San Lucas have tested positive for the virus. The facility was earlier designated for exclusive care of COVID-9 patients."

What does, "tested positive" mean? They are fine but have been exposed and have antibodies? They are asymptomatic?  They are sick but getting well?  They are dying?...

The problems is that the test are very unreliable and some are even triggered by other coronaviruses.

The more I learn, the less I know--and the less I think most 'experts' know.

This concerned me though. "...the Mexican Secretary of Health announced that they expect the Covid-19 virus to peak in Mexico during June."  That means a possible hard lockdown here about the time things in Canada should be getting sane again.

So, I looked online and I can fly out on American any day for $269 CAD but have to touch down and overnight in DFW.  I wonder if that can work? The US borders are closed to non-US citizens but word is:

"Up to now, Canadians whose travel was deemed essential by US authorities, were asymptomatic and had no recent travel in China, Iran, and European Schengen area, United Kingdom and Republic of Ireland, have been allowed to transit through the US as long as the flight transit is done in less than 36 hours, and they have an onward flight ticket to Canada."

Also, if I am going to get sick, please, please, anywhere but during a stopover in the USA.

 I checked the current status here and the likely future.  Mexico seems so sensible.

I finished off Ghostbusters then started on Grease.  I had forgotten how phony and stage-musical Grease is, so after a little while, I started on Steel Magnolias.

I turned it off at bedtime.  I start and stop movies anywhere.  makes them more real.

Friends and good manners will carry you where money won't go.
Margaret Walker

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Thursday April 9th 2020

Today Mainly cloudy. Clearing this morning. Wind south 20 km/h gusting to 40. High 10. Wind chill minus 19 this morning. UV index 6 or high.
Tonight Becoming cloudy this evening. 30 percent chance of showers overnight. Wind south 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low minus 3. Wind chill minus 7 overnight.

I woke at 0430, thinking I should put the boat up at Bercowich and get back to Alberta.  If Stage 3 comes into effect, I might get stuck here for the summer, confined to my boat at the dock through hurricane season, and that would be impossibly hot, confined, and potentially dangerous.

What are my options?

  • Get out now.  Put the boat up or tie up and leave ASAP.

  • Wait a while and see how things go.

That is about it.

I went back to bed for a while, then sat in the cockpit and watched the birds and fish ,  The wind is from the east and the day is cool.  It is 21 degrees C in and out.

I don't know what to think. I woke up thinking I'd head home, but after researching the trip and the arrival, the idea looks less appealing. I could do it, but then would have to stay home for two weeks. How would I get food?  What would I do?  Could I provision on the way home from the airport? (Probably not?)

Sounds as if Canada has turned in to police state complete with snitches.  This in not the Canada I grew up in. Watch this video.

I think I may already have had this virus, but who knows?  And if I did, am I immune?  It really does not matter, though, because the rules are the rules. One size fits all.  Seems nobody knows.  According to the rules, it appears I am obliged to stay away from myself and seeing as I am a 'senior'.

Staying here is a crap shoot.  If we get to phase 3, I may not be able to leave the country. Otherwise, everything is good until June as long  as I am not restricted to the dock, but after that?

The virus is expected to peak here in Baja Sur in June here but maybe things will clarify by then. Who knows?  Seems the authorities don't.

Bill Gates Crosses The Digital Rubicon, Says "Mass Gatherings" May Not Return Without Global Vaccine

Why Central Planning By Medical Experts Will Lead To Disaster

From
51 recovered coronavirus patients test positive AGAIN in South Korea
"Professor Hunter highlighted that conventional coronavirus tests give the wrong result 20 to 30 per cent of the time."

Surrendered Without A Shot, by Robert Gore
An affliction that strikes 3.3 million in one week and 6.6 million the next puts coronavirus growth rates, even in the hardest hit countries, to shame. Those are the last two weeks’ US jobless claims, just shy of 10 million, clocking in with a week-to-week increase of 100 percent. According to the April 2 US coronavirus and jobless claims statistics, there were 40 people newly unemployed in just two weeks for each confirmed coronavirus case and 1645 newly unemployed for each coronavirus death (dividing 10 million, rounded up, by the April 2 figures for confirmed cases and deaths from worldometers.info), and on current relative growth rates both numbers will increase.

Translation of the Message from the Governor of Baja California Sur
Mexico so far beats Canada hands-down IMO but I'm afraid of being confined to the boat at the dock with no escape if there is phase 3 declared.

I wrote to the Canadian Consulate to ask about flights, then looked into Canadian flights from  the usual airlines that fly to SJD and found that only Air Canada is flying from Mexico to Canada and only from Mexico City to Toronto, but I can get a flight right through to Calgary with a stopover at YYZ.  Well, I can get to MEX from here (LAP) easily on Volaris.

 

Total is about $850 CAD plus hotel.

Then I called American Airlines to see, as a Canadian, if I can fly into DFW from SJD or not.  After a twelve-minute wait I reached a very helpful operator named Anthony who is researching the question for me as I wait on hold.

After consulting his sources, he said I should have no issues as long as I don't have a temperature when I land in Texas and I can stay overnight if I wish.

Add another $35 for the shuttle to SJD

Now I have to decide between option 1, option 2, or stay here.  I think I will sleep on it again.

I've been anchored here at Playa Pichilingue since Sunday morning.  So far my batteries have held up at 12.50 volts or so but today has been cloudy and this evening my batteries are getting down to 12.25 volts. 

I have also been a bit careless with energy use. This laptop won't work with he small inverter and requires me to use the main inverter which has a four amp idle current.

I ran the engine for a while to see how the charge rate would turn out. At idle there is very little charge, but at 2,200  RPM, the charge rate is 89 amps.  I did not run it long because I am thinking of heading out soon or back.  I have been anchored here for five days.

The day was cool and overcast and not conducive to snorkeling.

I watched some unmemorable YouTube video, then more of Steel Magnolias and went to bed.

Go to April 10th >>

I usually lump organized religion, organized labor, and organized crime together.
The Mafia gets points for having the best restaurants
Dave Beard

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