March 2020

 

 

 

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Approaching San Lorenzo Channel with Espiritu Santo Ahead

 

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Sunday March 1st 2020

Today Cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries early this morning. Clearing this morning. Wind north 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this morning. High plus 2. Wind chill minus 13 this morning. UV index 2 or low.
Tonight Clear. Becoming partly cloudy this evening. Wind becoming west 20 km/h gusting to 40 this evening. Low minus 4. Wind chill near minus 10.

I'm up at 4:20 and planning to go cruising today.

 

Just after daybreak I was ready to go so I untied the lines, pushed off, and motored out into the channel.  I raised sail but needed the motor until I cleared Punta Prieta at which point I had a nice following breeze and was making five to six knots under sail.

I had planned to just go to Pichilingue or Lobos, but the sailing was so perfect that I changed course for Espiritu Santo and sat back. There was hardly any traffic and no need to watch for debris around her so along the way I cooked some fettuccini for lunch.

As predicted, the wind died around eleven.  I motored into Ensenada la Gallina and was anchored in twenty feet of water and swimming by noon. 

The water is a bit cool, at 22 degrees, but the air is warm, 28.6.  I'll have lunch and snorkel in a while.  I'm isolated here with only passing boats in sight a mile away.  There is no phone signal or Internet.

I left Ensenda la Gallina around four and headed in the general direction of home. I figured I'd stop at Lobos or Pichilingue.  The latter offers better shelter if the wind comes from the south, I thought, but I forgot what a zoo Pichilingue is, with campers, SeaDoos and loud music played from several spots on the beach.

The wind favoured me and I made good time until just before dusk when the wind died.  I motored in and anchored.

I'm back on Internet and can see things are developing pretty well the way I expected but not the way we all have hoped.

Coronageddon: Can A "Minsky Moment" Be Avoided?

I'm wondering if I should just throw away my flights and stay here.

I went to bed around eight-thirty.  By then the noise had gone down to nothing and the wind and waves were calm.

Quote of the Day.
I have left orders to be awakened at any time during national emergency,
even if I'm in a cabinet meeting.
Ronald Reagan

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Monday March 2nd 2020

Today Mainly cloudy. Wind southwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming northwest 40 gusting to 60 this morning. High 6. Wind chill minus 9 this morning. UV index 2 or low.
Tonight Partly cloudy. Wind northwest 40 km/h gusting to 60 diminishing to 20 gusting to 50 this evening. Low minus 5. Wind chill minus 13 overnight.

The winds built and dropped and shifted direction overnight. Baja Magic wandered around on her leash, moving back and forth over an eighty-foot path

I'm up at six and not too ambitious.  My plan is to return to La Paz today, stopping for fuel at Costa Baja on the way.  I'll have to watch the fuel guys, though, I think they scammed me a little last time. It is important to see the meter is zeroed at the start and also check at the end.

I don't actually have to be back today though, so I'll think about it. I have things to do today that i can do anywhere.  Right now, I am being rocked by a side swell, so I may move.

Since I got the alternator working, the batteries have been fantastic.  I see no voltage drop overnight

Good cartoon at right.  The Dow is having a good day today.  Dead cat bounce? 

Exuberance dies hard.  After years of being rescued by the Fed, 'traders' have become addicted to being rescued from their brashness and rewarded for folly.  Whatever cannot continue, at some point has to stop.  Are we there yet?

From the Rabbithole, a must-read:
"What Are The Odds?" - A Timeline Of Facts Linking Covid-19, HIV, & Wuhan's Secret Bio-Lab and an interesting Twitter thread

And from the Where There's Smoke, There's Fire Department: Coronavirus Bioweapon – How China Stole Coronavirus From Canada And Weaponized It and Frank Plummer – Canadian Scientist Key To Coronavirus Investigation Assassinated In Africa?   and Were Coronavirus Samples Destroyed By China To Coverup The Outbreak?   Enquiring minds need to know

Simply coincidence?  The thing about conspiracy theories is that some are bound to be true, but which ones?  Who knows?  And does it really matter?  In our world, perception is reality.

If I do go back to La Paz, I'll be bucking a strong breeze right on the nose. There is not much tide today, however. (left)

I probably will go back. For one thing, I want to buy fuel today.  I like it out here, though.

At noon, I am still at Pichilingue but I do plan to go for fuel or at least get closer. 

I checked on how I get to the airport seeing as I fly late. I could take the bus via Los Barriles that passes the airport, but the time is short.  So, the other option is the bus to San Jose via Todo Santos and Uber to the airport.  If not Uber, for $20 CAD, then maybe a collectivo if I can find one.  I'll have several hours.  So, I am ready to go. I think I'm going.

It is cool and overcast and the wind has piped up from the northwest.  Perfect for a romp back to la Paz.  Here I go.

Laundry hint: I hand wash all my clothes while on board and use dish detergent.  Dish detergent is the only thing I have found that takes grease spots out of T-shirts and is great for other stains, too. One thing, though, it may also take out some of the colour.  Not sure.

I sailed and motored to Punta Prieta and Costa Baja Marina and filled up with diesel.

The upper tank, tank #2 took 90 litres costing 2429 pesos or $167 CAD which is $1.85CAD/litre, $1,40 US/litre, or 27 pesos/litre). That seems high.

That tank is the one with the gauge that reads backward.  It appears I was right out of fuel in tank #2, but tank one was saying it was still full. I think that is true because when I opened the valve to drain #2 into #1, tank #2 stayed full.

An hour later, I was tied up at my dock and I changed the transmission oil and checked the linkage.

The oil under the engine turned out to be transmission fluid.  It was just a small amount and I know the transmission was overfilled, so maybe it spat some out.  Otherwise, there is a slow leak.  That is no big deal if it does not get worse. Engine hours are 3729.

The oil was filthy again.  I'll just keep changing it until it stays red.

The engine currently shows 3775 hours.

Here's an article about Mexican attitudes and why I like it here, even if I don't drive here much.  People are tolerant.

The Thing I Like Most About Driving in Mexico

The Dow closed up 1294 today. It is a roller coaster.  My bet is that there will be more down than up in coming days.  I really cannot see what value people see in the market right now.  I'm guessing this is a Bull Trap.

I looked for anything bearable on Netflix, could not watched little Cheers and went to bed early.

Quote of the Day.
Gold is the money of kings,
silver is the money of gentlemen,
barter is the money of peasants ,
but debt is the money of slaves.
Norm Franz

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Tuesday March 3rd 2020

Today Flurries ending late this morning then a mix of sun and cloud. Local amount 2 cm. Wind north 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light late this morning. High 7. Wind chill minus 9 this morning. UV index 2 or low.
Tonight Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of flurries late this evening and overnight. Low minus 2..

I'm up at three.  Looked at Zero Hedge and see there is a whole raft of new info. One article led me to some new avenues.  Eye openers, they are.

Google's Creepy Line Exposed

The Creepy Line Movie

The Creepy Line Trailer

CLINTON CASH
OFFICIAL DOCUMENTARY MOVIE FULL HD
The Untold Story of Bill & Hillary Clinton

CLINTON CASH
Directors Cut [FULL HD MOVIE]

I went back to bed around four and slept until seven. This is my last full day here unless I decide not to go. I have a number of chores to catch up on.

Okay.  It is decided.  I am not going north and east.  I'm staying here for now until the virus thing becomes clearer. Obviously everyone has been lying to us or at least withholding information and until the truth is more obvious, I'll wait.

I spoke with Mom and she is okay with that and her helper, Nicole, thinks this is wise since sitting on an airplane for hours with strangers is unwise.  In stores and public, we mingle with strangers, but they are mostly locals.  On airplanes, odds are those strangers may have been traveling far and wide. Last time I went home, I caught a cold from a woman beside me who only coughed a dry cough a few times.

Of course, this only improves the odds a bit.  Locals can be sick, too.

I'll lose my airfares I imagine, but better than getting ill or taking the Wuflu to Mom.  Chances are if it is a s bad a it seems I'll catch it sooner or later, but I would not be the one to take it to Mom.

I spoke with Miguel and he is in a bad way.  Not only does he have a heart valve issue, but now he has vertigo.  Apparently some small stone has formed in one ear and when he moves, it sometimes moves around and causes him to be disoriented.  He cannot drive and even walking or riding can trigger an episode.

So.  Here I am in La Paz with no plans until the 18th when Gillian comes.  She will be here for two weeks, and that is assuming that her flights are not cancelled.  She is in New Zealand.

So, after all that planning and anticipation, here I am with no plans.

Odd.

I see the Dow is plunging again after the sucker rally.  There will be more volatility for a while until the players understand the Fed cannot save the bull. The repo market is in shambles.

As always, the talking heads and opinion leaders are saying buy while they themselves are selling, leaving the suckers who believe them holding the bag.

I did some data entry this morning and see Cooper has effed the billings up again. Colin didn't think he needed Nancii so she moved away.  Turns out she was the only one who knew how to keep things straight.

From Calgary Beekeepers... About Miller feeders.
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/calgarybeekeepers/AuATqtdCi7Y

> I'm not sure I completely understand the design. The box with the screen on top- is it meant to prevent the bees from entering the reservoir when there is feed, or when it is not being used for feed?

Exactly. A foyer, if you will. It provides access, but restricted access. There's likely bee-tight holes at the bottom of the foyer to allow the feed to permeate into it, while ensuring the bees are confined. It's a small enough space that any bees can perch on the sides to prevent drowning.

The screen is a nice touch, in that it provides a view of the activity - In contrast to the metal caps of some designs that leave you guessing.

I prefer the screen as well, as it allows moist air access to the quilt above, which will act as a moisture-sink. I suspect the screen was just an accessible and expedient choice by the creator, and they weren't thinking of this.

The use of plywood is a concern, and I'd prefer to buy something made of solid wood and modify to suit my needs.

Allen:

It's not a problem if the bees can walk down into the feeder.
That is assuming the bees are strong enough and the weather
is warm enough.

Miller type feeders can be an issue on very small colonies.

Small colonies do better with an insulated lid close above the
cluster and no empty space for their heat to rise into.

Dan:

>have a screened chimney in the summer, and then some kind
>of a metal cap I can put over it come winter.

> Come to think of it, dollar stores are great for tupperware
containers in all shapes and sizes, and perhaps I can find my
"cap" there.

Allen:

Assuming the hive is reasonably level, the last bit of receding syrup is like a beach, shallow at the edge, so bees don't drown.

> I have some discomfort with the open space above for heat to rise into, and have wondered about that. Above that reservoir I have a quilt to buffer that loss.

I've had clusters move up into Miller feeders in winter when I
neglected to remove them.

Drowning is *mainly a problem with thin syrup* because the density and surface tension is less and bees get wet. I seldom fed thin syrup for that reason.

Thin syrup is stimulative and it does not take much to get the
bees going. A few ounces spread over a week is as good as a
larger volume and far less trouble. And only in springtime.

*Never feed thin syrup to build up stores*, especially in cool weather.  It makes extra work for the bees, evaporating the water cools the hive, makes the hive damp, spoils, spills, and is generally a bad idea.

Thin syrup is best fed in small quantities and in atmospheric
feeders IMO, but proper design and use of atmospheric feeders
is technical and thus atmospheric feeders are not great for beeginners.
 

I have to reorganize my thoughts now.  I need groceries now that I am staying, so I caught a collectivo to Soriana.  I might have gone to Walmart, but the first bus was not going that far, so Soriana it was.

I got back and had a nap, then tried to find the energy to do anything.  It is seven and no luck.

Oceans 8 is playing at Palmira tonight, but I don't feel much like going.  I've seen it, and the ride there and back is one reason I am tied up here.

I was listening to the radio and something seemed funny.  Somehow it is now wired so the left front is in  the back and the left back is in the front.  I simply wired to the proper existing wires, so I assume that the previous installation was wonky, but I don't recall anything amiss then. Actually, I thought everything was correct after I installed it. Curious.

I'm going to go to bed early tonight.

Quote of the Day.
Advice is what we ask for when we already know the answer
but wish we didn't.
Erica Jong

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Wednesday March 4th 2020

Today A mix of sun and cloud. 60 percent chance of flurries this morning and early this afternoon. Wind northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 increasing to 40 gusting to 70 this morning then diminishing to 20 gusting to 40 late this afternoon. High plus 5. Wind chill minus 9 this morning. UV index 2 or low.
Tonight Clearing. Wind northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light late this evening. Low minus 13. Wind chill minus 16 overnight.

I slept poorly and I'm up at 0645.

This is decision day. I have decided not to go to Ontario, but have not yet cancelled today's travel to Calgary or my hotel, pending a possible decision to return to Alberta.  I'm watching the news.  I suppose I have to return sometime.  I've lost track of time.

Here, at right, is my original plan. Apparently I arrived at SJD on the 23rd and it is now the 4th, so I have been here ten days as of tonight.  My thirty-day health insurance runs out on the 24th +/- and I will be here until the 2nd of April, since unless things change, Gillian will be here, so the insurance will need to be extended.  About now I sure want coverage. But, then, who knows how the pandemic will have advanced, or possibly receded?

As I have expected all along, we have reached the tipping point in the pandemic trainwreck where we the chain reaction begins.  Up until now, the train has been going on pretty much straight ahead, but with wheels off the track and some signs of instability.  Now, everyone is increasingly realizing that the wheels can't go back on track and the eventual result, given what few facts we have.

As in the cartoon, there is a delay between the awareness and the fall.

Things go on as usual as the effects of individual responses add up  and begin to compound.  Then, at some point it becomes obvious that supplies run out, hoarding makes it worse, and the effects compound. People stop going out, stop working, and stop buying.

As a result, people don't get paid and then can't pay others. This goes on down the line. Deliveries are cancelled due to illness or lack of payment. Since almost everyone lives hand to mouth and depends on just in time delivery, there is very little reserve capacity.

Governments have little room to move. They are already fully extended and don't have a clue anyhow.  Central banks are expected to somehow save us, but the only tool they have is money and money can only function when there are goods and services available.

Maybe I'm overly pessimistic, but so far things are going pretty much as expected and we are still only seeing the tip of this iceberg. IMO, anyhow.

I have a dentist's appointment for four today and after that, nothing planned.

I have to wonder if I am overreacting.  The problem is that real information is scarce.  Is this no worse than the 'ordinary' flu?  I suppose the ordinary flu is bad enough, but this one apparently comes by stealth, is more infectious and is more deadly.

Super Tuesday came and went. American politics affects us all and it is horrible to watch, but watch we must.

...Going to the candidates' debate
Laugh about it, shout about it
When you've got to choose
Every way you look at it you lose

The more I look at this Wuflu thing, the more it seems things are not adding up. Where and what is the dark matter in this universe?

Wuhan Seafood Market, Ground-Zero For Coronavirus Outbreak, Demolished

I went online and cancelled my flight to Calgary and my hotel, then went to the Air Canada site to cancel my trip east, but my flight to Toronto was changed without details and my flight to Sudbury cancelled.

I could not find details online and the site said to call Air Canada. I called and their lines were full and I was told to hang up and try later.  Sounds like things are all balled up.

Travel Sector Collapses Into "Great Crisis" Amid Slump In Flight Bookings

I gave up and went to coffee.  There is a 'race' Monday, Jimmy says.  I'll be here.

I returned and did more work regarding the cancellations and some clean-up.

Am I wrong?  The markets are all up and the Dow almost 1,000 points.  I don't think so.  The bull takes a while to die.  It generally falls and gets back on its feet a few times before dropping.

Are we being hoaxed -- again?
Six Reasons Why Covid-19 Fails The Sniff Test

The Dow closed up 1,175.

At three, I started walking to the dentist for my four PM appointment.

I have been a bit out of sorts and decided to take my time and really look around and appreciate the town as I walk.  It took me forty-five minutes to walk the mile and a bit.

I spent an hour in the chair having my teeth cleaned and the dentist decided she wants to change one of the back crowns she installed last time.  No charge.  The cleaning cost me $800 MXN or about $50 CAD.  I recall the bandits at Carstairs billing my plan over $250 for the same work.

I took my time walking back, too, and am really seeing this town more clearly the longer I am here. I stopped at the Chinese buffet and ate sparingly.

The art on the left is a mural on a parking garage wall. The sidewalk at right is on a main street. Holes like this are not unusual and the philosophy is if you step in a hole and you want to sue, look in the mirror.

Mexicans are tolerant people and there are beautiful houses right next to vacant lots with an old shack and junk.

Spanish-style, each home is walled and the walls enclose personal private yards which are often beautifully kept and functional. 

Who cares what the neighbours do?  Gotta love that.

This just one spot and one sculpture on the three-mile plus Malecon.

I arrived home at six and someone announced the sunset on 22A, our party line VHF channel so I went out and took a picture.

Scientists Discover More Aggressive Strain Of Coronavirus Responsible For 70% Of Current Infections"
"Chinese scientists studying the new coronavirus have found two new primary strains of the disease - one of which appears to be far more aggressive."

Well, Duh.  What have I been saying?  Things just were not adding up.  There had to be more than one actor here and there is.  Now things make more sense.  What revelation comes next? Will it come out that it is definitely man-made and a designer fit for some 'races' and demographics?  That would not be a huge stretch given the rumours.

The story is that the virus is mutating as it spreads and maybe it is.  I don't know anything at all about how the history can be determined.  My question: how can one know for sure which direction a virus mutated?  i.e., which is the original and which is the mutant?  I'm assuming assumptions are involved.

And what about children?  I hear no reports of more than the occasional child case, and children typically catch everything going around as they are gregarious and very physical.

Things still don't add up.

That two and a third mile walk was good for me.  This a great town for walking (as long as you watch where you walk.)

  *   *   *  *  *

OK!  Here is the answer for "Where are the children?"
Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths

AGE
DEATH RATE
80+ years old
14.8%
70-79 years old
8.0%
60-69 years old
3.6%
50-59 years old
1.3%
40-49 years old
0.4%
30-39 years old
0.2%
20-29 years old
0.2%
10-19 years old
0.2%

0-9 years old

no fatalities

This is a simplified table.  See the source page for more current data and more detail as well as co-morbidity effects.

Frankly, these numbers do not look all that scary for myself and my mother, seeing as we are both in pretty good shape. However, these are just stats and very questionable ones at that.

No matter what the odds, one can still draw the short straw, and and, the flu is no fun at the best of times. Ask me about the bug I caught last time i flew home from here and how I am still getting over the blah feelings it left me with.

And then, we don't know what bug we might actually get. The flu and associated pneumonia I had twenty-five years ago still lives on in my memory.

Varroa jacobsoni should not have caused the damage it did, but then again we only thought it was jacobsoni.  It actually was--and still is--varroa destructor.
 

I went to bed around ten

I find television very educating. Every time somebody turns on the set,
I go into the other room and read a book.
Groucho Marx

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Thursday March 5th 2020

Today Sunny. Becoming a mix of sun and cloud this morning. Wind becoming south 20 km/h gusting to 40 this morning. High 7. Wind chill minus 14 this morning. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight A few clouds. Wind southwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light overnight. Low minus 2. Wind chill minus 5 overnight.

I slept well and I'm up at 0400.

As they say, "Today is the first day of the rest of your life".

I've been anxious, with too many irons in the fire and too many unknowns. My big concern was the trip to Sudbury and that is cancelled. I can quit worrying about flying in planes full of people from all over the world, picking up the virus and infecting my mother.

There are still many unknowns about that disease, but I'm really not too worried about myself. Que sera, sera. There are cases of the virus in Mexico and it will get here, but but La Paz is really not a world tourist meca like Cabo. Medical facilities are good here and accessible.  The people are empathetic.

Here are the current stats
COVID-19 CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK
Word is, though, that testing and reporting is very spotty.
What is reassuring is that if the stats are anywhere near
 accurate, the mortality is not as high as the most notable
previous coronavirus episodes.

China Hints At Blackmail Over Pharmaceutical Exports, Would "Plunge US Into Mighty Sea Of Coronavirus"
The fallout from this is just beginning.
Even suggesting this will make American businesses pay attention and get out of China ASAP. The collateral damage to China of such loose talk will be huge.

Now that I have no worries, I'm thinking what I want to do besides work on the boat and go back out to the bays.  A bus trip to Loreto might be fun.

I'd get an Airbnb there for a night and return the next day.  Hmmm.  It is almost a six-hour bus ride. Strange.  It was only less than an hour by jet.  It is $820 MXN, too or $50 CAD each way.

 

I was going to stop watching this trainwreck, wasn't I?
"It's Time To Pull Out All The Stops": Coronavirus Spreads To Nevada, Tennessee, New Jersey; Officials Believe Virus Already Spreading In NYC: Live Updates

And, from Yahoo!


I checked on flights and they don't go every day, so am thinking I should rent a car again if I want to explore.

Amid Coronavirus Panic, Why Millions of Retail Workers Would Probably Go to Work Sick

Okay.  Now that this is confirmed, I've cancelled my flights.  Damn. 

Do You Know All Coronavirus Victims Appear To Be Chinese? Thought Not!

Chinese Scientists Find Genetic Explanation For Coronavirus Discriminating By Race

I knew, just knew, that the glass would clear about now. Damn! 

One day late. Oh, well.  Good news, I guess.  This means I just blew away about $1,000 in fares for maybe nothing.  Just the same, I am glad to be spared the trip and to be here undisturbed.

I changed the bottom end oil in the outboard and will do the engine oil next.  I should, by rights change the diesel engine oil, but it is so clean I can't bring myself to do it.

I changed the outboard oil and it was overdue.  On the dipstick it looked fairly clean but when drained, it was black.

Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water...

I'm listening to Calgary radio and guess what?  There is a case of the Wuflu in Alberta now.  Someone from a cruise ship came back to Alberta from California (I'm assuming on a commercial flight) and now is ill. tests are pending.

Guess where the cruise ship stopped along the cruise?  They say Mexico and that would be Cabo.

It only got worse as the evening news came on.  I guess I made the right decision.

Trouble knocked at the door, but, hearing laughter, hurried away
Benjamin Franklin

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Friday March 6th 2020

Today Increasing cloudiness this afternoon. Wind southwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming northeast 20 gusting to 40 this afternoon. High 7. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Cloudy. Periods of snow beginning this evening. Amount 2 to 4 cm. Wind northeast 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light late this evening. Low minus 8. Wind chill minus 14 overnight.

I slept well and I'm up at 0600.  I'm depressed. 

I have been planning to get out to the bays today but delayed a bit too long and by the time I shoved off at 0845, the tide was pushing me hard against the dock. I managed to get out, but not without breaking a fin on my outboard.  Seeing a school of dolphins cheered me a bit.

Now I am at Bahia Falsa and I am finding it an interesting spot.   Previously I have just passed it by on the way to more distant destinations, but today it was my target.   I'm finding there are beaches and mangroves to explore and and El Tresoro is one of them.  I was at El Tresoro once when I rented a car. The one downside is the highway is nearby and traffic is visible, and audible at times.  Truckers use their Jake brakes on the hills.


Internet is good here.

I wrote to the marina asking for a better location. Coming and going is just too hazardous where I am presently.  I got a reply that they are working on it.

Now that I am away from town I feel better.  It is cool and overcast, so I am wearing a sweater and toque, but it feels good to be away from the vortex.  I'll do some deskwork, then inflate the dinghy and go ashore for a hike and to explore.

I noticed that I was drifting and thought I was dragging.  I tested the anchor and found I just kept moving back. I assumed I was dragging, but when I went forward I found the chain locker had only about twenty-five feet of chain left. I had pulled out a hundred and twenty-five more feet of chain.  I had not put on a snubber and the windlass clutch was slipping.  I left that chain long and set up a snubber. Let that be a lesson for me.

Once sure of a good set, I went ashore in the dinghy, had a beer at the palapa bar and sat a while before returning to Baja Magic.

I had supper, watched some YouTube and went to bed at nine.

If two wrongs don't make a right, try three.
Laurence J. Peter

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Saturday March 7th 2020

Today Snow at times heavy. Amount 10 cm. Wind north 20 km/h gusting to 40. High minus 4. Wind chill minus 17 this morning and minus 10 this afternoon. UV index 1 or low.
Tonight Periods of light snow ending after midnight then partly cloudy. Wind north 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low minus 14. Wind chill minus 12 this evening and minus 19 overnight.

I woke at 0220 and was thinking of getting up for a while when the anchor alarm went off.  I checked and we had simply changed direction and crossed the circle.  I always like to get up and look around when we move much in case we find ourselves closer to the other boats.  Everything was fine so I reset the alarm, stayed up a while, then went back to bed.

I'm up at 0630.  I'll spend the day here and probably return later in the day. It is nice and quiet out here on the hook and there is a some sun this morning.  I see people hiking along trails on the cliffs beside the bays.  I'll do some deskwork, some boat work and go ashore for a hike. 

The tides are extreme today and the only safe time to return to my marina is about two forty-eight or nine-fifteen.  Tomorrow is not much better.

I'm not happy about being so limited in safe access times and hope the marina can find me something better than my current location. (pun intended). 

I'm starting to realize that the tides are a much bigger factor at Marina de La Paz than they were at Marina Palmira.  I never gave the tides any thought coming and going there. From MLP, the extra distance in the channel adds another half-hour to my travel coming and going to the bays and islands and more if the tide is against me.

Tomorrow is the Veleros de Baja race so maybe I'll stay out here and meet up with the fleet at Punta Prieta.  At nine, the day is bright, warm, and beautiful. Some cloud is predicted for the afternoon, but this is fantastic.  Why leave?

Oh, yes, and back in the real world:

As the coronavirus spreads, one study predicts that even the best-case scenario is 15 million dead and a $2.4 trillion hit to global GDP

"In the low-severity model — or best-case scenario of the seven — ANU researchers estimate a global GDP loss of $2.4 trillion, with an estimated death toll of 15 million."

Is this the same modeling software that keeps predicting Global Warming that refuses to come on as modeled?  Hope so.

I got to thinking and set u real-time tracking on Google Earth.  I had tried before but never with my Garmin eTrex. 

It works.  I wonder why my GPS puck does not?

Simple.  Open CPN was using that device.  When I turned Open CPN off, Bingo!

It is far too nice to stay inside.  I'm going for a walk.

I started the dinghy and .  First, I went ashore with the intention of walking, but realized that if I tied up where I landed, I'd be hundreds of yards from the water in an hour when the tide went out and turned the shallows into a flat. So, I went back out and took a run around the bay and ventured into the harbour.  The water in that bay is murky and I found myself racing through shallows with scattered rocks and invisible on the bottom and ticking a few with the bottom tip of the outboard, hoping to do not harm.  If I stopped, I'd sink and be in a worse situation.

I left there and went over to El Tesero, tied up to a rock at the point where the water would stay deep enough to leave and walked in through the calf-deep shallows to the beach.

I sat down and had a beer, then two couples from nearby yachts came in and sat down I was invited to join them. One couple was Patrick and Ellen from Maitairoa.  I had met them before back in 2018 at Lobos.

I had shrimp tacos with salad and around three, I returned to Baja Magic and had a siesta.

I made chili and spent time watching YouTube and went to bed around ten.

Having children is like living in a frat house - nobody sleeps,
everything's broken, and there's a lot of throwing up.
Ray Romano

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Sunday March 8th 2020

Today A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of flurries late this afternoon. Wind up to 15 km/h. High minus 5. Wind chill minus 22 this morning and minus 9 this afternoon. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of flurries early this evening. Clearing overnight. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 18. Wind chill minus 9 this evening and minus 22 overnight.

I'm up at 0630. Today is the race.  Predictions are for no wind, but I may go.  We'll see.

My guts are not happy today and I am realising that maybe the palapa restaurant was not using purified water.  I've never had issues with food or drink here in Baja California Sur, but have been careful to use potable water. Thank goodness for Imodium.

I think that, seeing as there is no wind, the tide is running against the race course, and I can't trust my guts I'll skip the race.

I do need to think about returning to La Paz at some point, though. The tide runs against me today until 3:18 this afternoon.  After that, Although the tide will carry me in towards the marina, once there, it will push me off the dock hard.

+   +   +   +   +   +   +

"This Is The Most Frightening Disease I've Ever Encountered In My Career" Says Architect Of National Pandemic Strategy
"This is the most frightening disease I've ever encountered in my career, and that includes Ebola, it includes MERS, it includes SARS. And it's frightening because of the combination of infectiousness and a lethality that appears to be manyfold higher than flu."

People shrug this disease off, but most do not understand that the Spanish Flu came in waves and it was the second wave that was the killer.

People discount the rumours that came out early on but in my experience, where there is smoke, there is fire.  Many rang true and were too extreme to be made up. There is still a lot that is not being revealed in out PC world where people are punished for speaking inconvenient truths, and not just in China. Canada is every bit a bad, just different.  Time will tell.

Inside China’s All-Out War on the Coronavirus
Dr. Bruce Aylward, of the W.H.O., got a rare glimpse into Beijing’s campaign to stop the epidemic. Here’s what he saw.

Very encouraging.

+   +   +   +   +   +   +

At ten AM, my guts seem to have settled, but not until I took four Imodium.  Glad I have it here.  I never travel without it.

+   +   +   +   +   +   +

I decided to return to my dock and set out for home.  There was very little wind, so I motored, arriving just before slack, as planned.  I motored into my spot, but the wind caught the bow and turned the boat 90 degrees .  I was rescued by a neighbour who calmly helped me manhandle the boat into place.

i was really ready for a beer an went up to the Dock Cafe and had two Dos Exxis.  I was then surprised to find I was blitzed.  The digestive issue must have exacerbated the effects.

+   +   +   +   +   +   +

Containment is futile: Is the COVID-19 coronavirus the pathogen of the century 'everyone is waiting for'?
Looks like denial is hard to maintain when the virus comes to the door and walks right in.
Nonetheless, we still have a wide range of opinions and little fact.

I had supper, browsed a bit, tried to figure why my stereo speakers are not working right, then went to bed.

Reality is just a crutch for people who can't cope with drugs.
Robin Williams

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Monday March 9th 2020

Today Sunny. Wind up to 15 km/h. High zero. Wind chill minus 25 this morning. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Clear. Wind up to 15 km/h. Low minus 15. Wind chill minus 8 this evening and minus 19 overnight.

I woke at two and since I am awake, got up.  Surprisingly, it is warm out, so I sitting in the cockpit, writing. Around me in the dark I hear fish splashing as they eat bugs and one another.  The Sea of Cortez is known for the abundance of fish and other wildlife.

I checked the news and it looks like a bloodbath in the markets.  Oil has dropped drastically after Saudi Arabia and Russia could not reach an agreement to cut back and SA slashed its prices.  Other markets and futures are limit down.  SPY is down 7.5%. The virus is everywhere now and denial is futile.

Headline: 2 new presumptive cases of COVID-19 in Alberta: 1 in Calgary, 1 in Edmonton

I went back to bed at four and got up again at six.

At seven here, "Cash indices have reopened after their 15-min circuit-breaker halt and are extending losses. The Dow is down 2000 points!"

Here are two very good writers.

"The Fed Has Made People Lazy" - Veteran Trader Filibusters CNBC: "This Doesn't Get Sorted Out Overnight"

Kunstler: "We've Entered The Hunkering-Down-In-Place Stage"

I caught the colectivo to Walmart but not until I had walked almost to Chedraui. I was feeling punk but was determined to go.

I started feeling better while shopping.  From Walmart, I Ubered back to Baja Magic and made supper. 

There may be fights over toilet paper in Canada, but here in the Baja, nobody is panicking.  There is plenty to go around.

Swalwell made the news. A train hit a propane truck right at the end of my driveway and everyone was evacuated.

 


CBC News Report

I went to bed early.

Tomorrow's Post

You can't have everything. Where would you put it?
Steven Wright

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