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I'm up at 4:20 and planning to go cruising today. Just after daybreak I was ready to go so I untied the lines, pushed off, and motored out into the channel. I raised sail but needed the motor until I cleared Punta Prieta at which point I had a nice following breeze and was making five to six knots under sail. I had planned to just go to Pichilingue or Lobos, but the sailing was so perfect that I changed course for Espiritu Santo and sat back. There was hardly any traffic and no need to watch for debris around her so along the way I cooked some fettuccini for lunch.
As predicted, the wind died around eleven. I motored into Ensenada la Gallina and was anchored in twenty feet of water and swimming by noon. The water is a bit cool, at 22 degrees, but the air is warm, 28.6. I'll have lunch and snorkel in a while. I'm isolated here with only passing boats in sight a mile away. There is no phone signal or Internet.
I left Ensenda la Gallina around four and headed in the general direction of home. I figured I'd stop at Lobos or Pichilingue. The latter offers better shelter if the wind comes from the south, I thought, but I forgot what a zoo Pichilingue is, with campers, SeaDoos and loud music played from several spots on the beach. The wind favoured me and I made good time until just before dusk when the wind died. I motored in and anchored. I'm back on Internet and can see things are developing pretty well the way I expected but not the way we all have hoped. Coronageddon: Can A "Minsky Moment" Be Avoided? I'm wondering if I should just throw away my flights and stay here. I went to bed around eight-thirty. By then the noise had gone down to nothing and the wind and waves were calm.
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I'm up at six and not too ambitious. My plan is to return to La Paz today, stopping for fuel at Costa Baja on the way. I'll have to watch the fuel guys, though, I think they scammed me a little last time. It is important to see the meter is zeroed at the start and also check at the end. I don't actually have to be back today though, so I'll think
about it. I have things to do today that i can do anywhere.
Right now, I am being rocked by a side swell, so I may move.
Since I got the alternator working, the batteries have been fantastic. I see no voltage drop overnight
From the Rabbithole, a must-read: And from the Where There's Smoke, There's Fire Department: Coronavirus Bioweapon – How China Stole Coronavirus From Canada And Weaponized It and Frank Plummer – Canadian Scientist Key To Coronavirus Investigation Assassinated In Africa? and Were Coronavirus Samples Destroyed By China To Coverup The Outbreak? Enquiring minds need to know Simply coincidence? The thing about conspiracy theories is that some are bound to be true, but which ones? Who knows? And does it really matter? In our world, perception is reality.
I probably will go back. For one thing, I want to buy fuel today. I like it out here, though. At noon, I am still at Pichilingue but I do plan to go for fuel or at least get closer. I checked on how I get to the airport seeing as I fly late. I could take the bus via Los Barriles that passes the airport, but the time is short. So, the other option is the bus to San Jose via Todo Santos and Uber to the airport. If not Uber, for $20 CAD, then maybe a collectivo if I can find one. I'll have several hours. So, I am ready to go. I think I'm going. It is cool and overcast and the wind has piped up from the northwest. Perfect for a romp back to la Paz. Here I go.
I sailed and motored to Punta Prieta and Costa Baja Marina and filled up with diesel. The upper tank, tank #2 took 90 litres costing 2429 pesos or $167 CAD which is $1.85CAD/litre, $1,40 US/litre, or 27 pesos/litre). That seems high. That tank is the one with the gauge that reads backward. It appears I was right out of fuel in tank #2, but tank one was saying it was still full. I think that is true because when I opened the valve to drain #2 into #1, tank #2 stayed full.
An hour later, I was tied up at my dock and I changed the transmission oil and checked the linkage.
The oil was filthy again. I'll just keep changing it until it stays red. The engine currently shows 3775 hours. Here's an article about Mexican attitudes and why I like it here, even if I don't drive here much. People are tolerant. The Thing I Like Most About Driving in Mexico The Dow closed up 1294 today. It is a roller coaster. My bet is that there will be more down than up in coming days. I really cannot see what value people see in the market right now. I'm guessing this is a Bull Trap. I looked for anything bearable on Netflix, could not watched little Cheers and went to bed early.
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I'm up at three. Looked at Zero Hedge and see there is a whole raft of new info. One article led me to some new avenues. Eye openers, they are. OFFICIAL DOCUMENTARY MOVIE FULL HDThe Untold Story of Bill & Hillary Clinton
CLINTON CASH I went back to bed around four and slept until seven. This is my last full day here unless I decide not to go. I have a number of chores to catch up on.
Okay. It is decided. I am not going north and east.
I'm staying here for now until the virus thing becomes clearer.
Obviously everyone has been lying to us or at least withholding
information and until the truth is more obvious, I'll wait.
I spoke with Mom and she is okay with that and her helper, Nicole, thinks this is wise since sitting on an airplane for hours with strangers is unwise. In stores and public, we mingle with strangers, but they are mostly locals. On airplanes, odds are those strangers may have been traveling far and wide. Last time I went home, I caught a cold from a woman beside me who only coughed a dry cough a few times. Of course, this only improves the odds a bit. Locals can be sick, too. I'll lose my airfares I imagine, but better than getting ill or taking the Wuflu to Mom. Chances are if it is a s bad a it seems I'll catch it sooner or later, but I would not be the one to take it to Mom. I spoke with Miguel and he is in a bad way. Not only does he have a heart valve issue, but now he has vertigo. Apparently some small stone has formed in one ear and when he moves, it sometimes moves around and causes him to be disoriented. He cannot drive and even walking or riding can trigger an episode. So. Here I am in La Paz with no plans until the 18th when Gillian comes. She will be here for two weeks, and that is assuming that her flights are not cancelled. She is in New Zealand. So, after all that planning and anticipation, here I am with no plans. Odd. I see the Dow is plunging again after the sucker rally. There will be more volatility for a while until the players understand the Fed cannot save the bull. The repo market is in shambles. As always, the talking heads and opinion leaders are saying buy while they themselves are selling, leaving the suckers who believe them holding the bag. I did some data entry this morning and see Cooper has effed the billings up again. Colin didn't think he needed Nancii so she moved away. Turns out she was the only one who knew how to keep things straight.
From Calgary Beekeepers... About Miller feeders.
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/calgarybeekeepers/AuATqtdCi7Y
> I'm not sure I completely understand the design. The box with
the screen on top- is it meant to prevent the bees from entering
the reservoir when there is feed, or when it is not being used
for feed? Allen: I have to reorganize my thoughts now. I need groceries now that I am staying, so I caught a collectivo to Soriana. I might have gone to Walmart, but the first bus was not going that far, so Soriana it was. I got back and had a nap, then tried to find the energy to do anything. It is seven and no luck. Oceans 8 is playing at Palmira tonight, but I don't feel much like going. I've seen it, and the ride there and back is one reason I am tied up here. I was listening to the radio and something seemed funny. Somehow it is now wired so the left front is in the back and the left back is in the front. I simply wired to the proper existing wires, so I assume that the previous installation was wonky, but I don't recall anything amiss then. Actually, I thought everything was correct after I installed it. Curious. I'm going to go to bed early tonight.
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I slept poorly and I'm up at 0645. This is decision day. I have decided not to go to Ontario, but have not yet cancelled today's travel to Calgary or my hotel, pending a possible decision to return to Alberta. I'm watching the news. I suppose I have to return sometime. I've lost track of time.
As I have expected all along, we have reached the tipping point in the pandemic trainwreck where we the chain reaction begins. Up until now, the train has been going on pretty much straight ahead, but with wheels off the track and some signs of instability. Now, everyone is increasingly realizing that the wheels can't go back on track and the eventual result, given what few facts we have.
Things go on as usual as the effects of individual responses add up and begin to compound. Then, at some point it becomes obvious that supplies run out, hoarding makes it worse, and the effects compound. People stop going out, stop working, and stop buying. As a result, people don't get paid and then can't pay others. This goes on down the line. Deliveries are cancelled due to illness or lack of payment. Since almost everyone lives hand to mouth and depends on just in time delivery, there is very little reserve capacity. Governments have little room to move. They are already fully extended and don't have a clue anyhow. Central banks are expected to somehow save us, but the only tool they have is money and money can only function when there are goods and services available. Maybe I'm overly pessimistic, but so far things are going pretty much as expected and we are still only seeing the tip of this iceberg. IMO, anyhow. I have a dentist's appointment for four today and after that, nothing planned.
I have to wonder if I am overreacting. The problem is that
real information is scarce. Is this no worse than the
'ordinary' flu? I suppose the ordinary flu is bad enough,
but this one apparently comes by stealth, is more infectious and
is more deadly.
Super Tuesday came and went. American politics affects us all and it is horrible to watch, but watch we must. ...Going to the candidates' debate The more I look at this Wuflu thing, the more it seems things are not adding up. Where and what is the dark matter in this universe?
I went online and cancelled my flight to Calgary and my hotel, then went to the Air Canada site to cancel my trip east, but my flight to Toronto was changed without details and my flight to Sudbury cancelled. I could not find details online and the site said to call Air Canada. I called and their lines were full and I was told to hang up and try later. Sounds like things are all balled up.
I gave up and went to coffee. There is a 'race' Monday, Jimmy says. I'll be here. I returned and did more work regarding the cancellations and some clean-up. Am I wrong? The markets are all up and the Dow almost 1,000 points. I don't think so. The bull takes a while to die. It generally falls and gets back on its feet a few times before dropping. Are we being hoaxed -- again? The Dow closed up 1,175.
I have been a bit out of sorts and decided to take my time and really look around and appreciate the town as I walk. It took me forty-five minutes to walk the mile and a bit. I spent an hour in the chair having my teeth cleaned and the dentist decided she wants to change one of the back crowns she installed last time. No charge. The cleaning cost me $800 MXN or about $50 CAD. I recall the bandits at Carstairs billing my plan over $250 for the same work.
The art on the left is a mural on a parking garage wall. The sidewalk at right is on a main street. Holes like this are not unusual and the philosophy is if you step in a hole and you want to sue, look in the mirror. Mexicans are tolerant people and there are beautiful houses right next to vacant lots with an old shack and junk. Spanish-style, each home is walled and the walls enclose personal private yards which are often beautifully kept and functional. Who cares what the neighbours do? Gotta love that. This just one spot and one sculpture on the three-mile plus Malecon.
I arrived home at six and someone announced the sunset on 22A, our party line VHF channel so I went out and took a picture.
Well, Duh. What have I been saying? Things just were not adding up. There had to be more than one actor here and there is. Now things make more sense. What revelation comes next? Will it come out that it is definitely man-made and a designer fit for some 'races' and demographics? That would not be a huge stretch given the rumours.
Things still don't add up. That two and a third mile walk was good for me. This a great town for walking (as long as you watch where you walk.) * * * * * OK! Here is the answer for "Where are the
children?"
This is a simplified table. See the source page for more current data and more detail as well as co-morbidity effects.
Frankly, these numbers do not look all that scary for myself and
my mother, seeing as we are both in pretty good shape. However,
these are just stats and very questionable ones at that.
No matter what the odds, one can still draw the short straw, and and, the flu is no fun at the best of times. Ask me about the bug I caught last time i flew home from here and how I am still getting over the blah feelings it left me with. And then, we don't know what bug we might actually get. The flu and associated pneumonia I had twenty-five years ago still lives on in my memory. Varroa jacobsoni should not have caused the damage it did,
but then again we only thought it was jacobsoni. It
actually was--and still is--varroa destructor. I went to bed around ten
I find television very educating. Every time somebody turns on the
set,
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I slept well and I'm up at 0400.
Here are the current stats
I'd get an Airbnb there for a night and return the next day. Hmmm. It is almost a six-hour bus ride. Strange. It was only less than an hour by jet. It is $820 MXN, too or $50 CAD each way.
I checked on flights and they don't go every day, so am thinking I should rent a car again if I want to explore.
Okay. Now that this is confirmed, I've cancelled my flights. Damn.
I knew, just knew, that the glass would clear about now. Damn! One day late. Oh, well. Good news, I guess. This means I just blew away about $1,000 in fares for maybe nothing. Just the same, I am glad to be spared the trip and to be here undisturbed. I changed the bottom end oil in the outboard and will do the engine oil next. I should, by rights change the diesel engine oil, but it is so clean I can't bring myself to do it. I changed the outboard oil and it was overdue. On the dipstick it looked fairly clean but when drained, it was black. Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the water... I'm listening to Calgary radio and guess what? There is a case of the Wuflu in Alberta now. Someone from a cruise ship came back to Alberta from California (I'm assuming on a commercial flight) and now is ill. tests are pending. Guess where the cruise ship stopped along the cruise? They say Mexico and that would be Cabo. It only got worse as the evening news came on. I guess I made the right decision.
Trouble knocked at the door, but, hearing laughter, hurried away
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I have been planning to get out to the bays today but delayed a bit too long and by the time I shoved off at 0845, the tide was pushing me hard against the dock. I managed to get out, but not without breaking a fin on my outboard. Seeing a school of dolphins cheered me a bit. Now I am at Bahia Falsa and I am finding it an interesting spot. Previously I have just passed it by on the way to more distant destinations, but today it was my target. I'm finding there are beaches and mangroves to explore and and El Tresoro is one of them. I was at El Tresoro once when I rented a car. The one downside is the highway is nearby and traffic is visible, and audible at times. Truckers use their Jake brakes on the hills.
I wrote to the marina asking for a better location. Coming and going is just too hazardous where I am presently. I got a reply that they are working on it. Now that I am away from town I feel better. It is cool and overcast, so I am wearing a sweater and toque, but it feels good to be away from the vortex. I'll do some deskwork, then inflate the dinghy and go ashore for a hike and to explore. I noticed that I was drifting and thought I was dragging. I tested the anchor and found I just kept moving back. I assumed I was dragging, but when I went forward I found the chain locker had only about twenty-five feet of chain left. I had pulled out a hundred and twenty-five more feet of chain. I had not put on a snubber and the windlass clutch was slipping. I left that chain long and set up a snubber. Let that be a lesson for me.
Once sure of a good set, I went ashore in the dinghy, had a beer at the palapa bar and sat a while before returning to Baja Magic. I had supper, watched some YouTube and went to bed at nine.
If two wrongs don't make a right, try three.
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I'm up at 0630. I'll spend the day here and probably return later in the day. It is nice and quiet out here on the hook and there is a some sun this morning. I see people hiking along trails on the cliffs beside the bays. I'll do some deskwork, some boat work and go ashore for a hike.
I'm not happy about being so limited in safe access times and hope the marina can find me something better than my current location. (pun intended). I'm starting to realize that the tides are a much bigger factor at Marina de La Paz than they were at Marina Palmira. I never gave the tides any thought coming and going there. From MLP, the extra distance in the channel adds another half-hour to my travel coming and going to the bays and islands and more if the tide is against me. Tomorrow is the Veleros de Baja race so maybe I'll stay out here and meet up with the fleet at Punta Prieta. At nine, the day is bright, warm, and beautiful. Some cloud is predicted for the afternoon, but this is fantastic. Why leave? Oh, yes, and back in the real world:
Is this the same modeling software that keeps predicting Global Warming that refuses to come on as modeled? Hope so.
It works. I wonder why my GPS puck does not? Simple. Open CPN was using that device. When I turned Open CPN off, Bingo! It is far too nice to stay inside. I'm going for a walk. I started the dinghy and . First, I went ashore with the intention of walking, but realized that if I tied up where I landed, I'd be hundreds of yards from the water in an hour when the tide went out and turned the shallows into a flat. So, I went back out and took a run around the bay and ventured into the harbour. The water in that bay is murky and I found myself racing through shallows with scattered rocks and invisible on the bottom and ticking a few with the bottom tip of the outboard, hoping to do not harm. If I stopped, I'd sink and be in a worse situation. I left there and went over to El Tesero, tied up to a rock at the point where the water would stay deep enough to leave and walked in through the calf-deep shallows to the beach.
I sat down and had a beer, then two couples from nearby yachts came in and sat down I was invited to join them. One couple was Patrick and Ellen from Maitairoa. I had met them before back in 2018 at Lobos. I had shrimp tacos with salad and around three, I returned to Baja Magic and had a siesta. I made chili and spent time watching YouTube and went to bed around ten.
Having children is like living in a frat house - nobody sleeps,
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I'm up at 0630. Today is the race. Predictions are for no wind, but I may go. We'll see. My guts are not happy today and I am realising that maybe the
palapa restaurant was not using purified water. I've never had
issues with food or drink here in Baja California Sur, but have been
careful to use potable water. Thank goodness for Imodium. I think that, seeing as there is no wind, the tide is running against the race course, and I can't trust my guts I'll skip the race. I do need to think about returning to La Paz at some point, though. The tide runs against me today until 3:18 this afternoon. After that, Although the tide will carry me in towards the marina, once there, it will push me off the dock hard. + + + + + + +
People shrug this disease off, but most do not understand that the Spanish Flu came in waves and it was the second wave that was the killer. People discount the rumours that came out early on but in my experience, where there is smoke, there is fire. Many rang true and were too extreme to be made up. There is still a lot that is not being revealed in out PC world where people are punished for speaking inconvenient truths, and not just in China. Canada is every bit a bad, just different. Time will tell.
+ + + + + + + At ten AM, my guts seem to have settled, but not until I took four Imodium. Glad I have it here. I never travel without it. + + + + + + + I decided to return to my dock and set out for home. There was very little wind, so I motored, arriving just before slack, as planned. I motored into my spot, but the wind caught the bow and turned the boat 90 degrees . I was rescued by a neighbour who calmly helped me manhandle the boat into place. i was really ready for a beer an went up to the Dock Cafe and had two Dos Exxis. I was then surprised to find I was blitzed. The digestive issue must have exacerbated the effects. + + + + + + +
I had supper, browsed a bit, tried to figure why my stereo speakers are not working right, then went to bed. Reality is just a crutch for people who can't cope
with drugs.
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I woke at two and since I am awake, got up. Surprisingly, it is warm out, so I sitting in the cockpit, writing. Around me in the dark I hear fish splashing as they eat bugs and one another. The Sea of Cortez is known for the abundance of fish and other wildlife. I checked the news and it looks like a bloodbath in the markets. Oil has dropped drastically after Saudi Arabia and Russia could not reach an agreement to cut back and SA slashed its prices. Other markets and futures are limit down. SPY is down 7.5%. The virus is everywhere now and denial is futile.
I went back to bed at four and got up again at six. At seven here, "Cash indices have reopened after their 15-min circuit-breaker halt and are extending losses. The Dow is down 2000 points!" Here are two very good writers.
I started feeling better while shopping. From Walmart, I Ubered back to Baja Magic and made supper. There may be fights over toilet paper in Canada, but here in the Baja, nobody is panicking. There is plenty to go around. Swalwell made the news. A train hit a propane truck right at the end of my driveway and everyone was evacuated.
I went to bed early. You can't have everything. Where would you put it?
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If
I do go back to La Paz, I'll be bucking a strong breeze right on the
nose. There is not much tide today, however. (left)
Here,
at right, is my original plan. Apparently I arrived at SJD on the
23rd and it is now the 4th, so I have been here ten days as of
tonight. My thirty-day health insurance runs out on the 24th
+/- and I will be here until the 2nd of April, since unless things
change, Gillian will be here, so the insurance will need to be
extended. About now I sure want coverage. But, then, who knows how the pandemic
will have advanced, or possibly receded?
As
in the cartoon, there is a delay between the awareness and the fall.
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