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 July 2019

 

 

 

 

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The Midsummer Bonfire

 

 Are you are looking for bee information?

I'm losing interest in bees lately and bee-related posts are infrequent these days but at one time I was very involved in beekeeping. Just about every topic has been covered somewhere on this site some time or another. Your best bets for finding ideas are:

 1.) check today's date in previous years     2.) visit the selected topics page
 3.)
search this site for keywords.
              4.) visit BEE-L

 

Note: I have been doing a bit of bee writing lately and there is some mention here and on recent previous pages, but it is mixed in with my daily life.

 

 

Monday July 1st 2019
Canada Day

Today Sunny. Increasing cloudiness this afternoon then rain. Risk of a thunderstorm this afternoon. Wind becoming northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 near noon then north 40 gusting to 60. High 24. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Periods of rain. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Wind north 30 km/h gusting to 50 becoming light near midnight. Low 8.

I was considering going to Gull Lake this afternoon, but decided against.  Jean is in Bentley and rain is expected in the afternoon.  I am making progress on things here and hate to lose momentum.  It seems every time I go away it take me a while to settle back into the groove here. I'll go up later this week. Maybe. I wanted to go to stores for various things and the stores are closed for Canada Day.

So far the day is bright and sunny, so I'm headed outside to do a few things.  Rain is expected around four this afternoon.  I'll be interested to see how accurate the forecast is.

I was fairly ambitious but got waylaid by Duolingo and spent an hour or two playing with Spanish lessons on my phone. Their phone app can be addictive once you get past the stupid fruits and cows part.

By the time I went out to do the trailer, the wind was picking up and the temperature dropped, so I went in and watch some video.  So much for ambition.

Then I thought about doing something practical and went back to Duolingo until I started to make mistakes from boredom.

Quote of the Day
A wise man proportions his belief to the evidence.
David Hume

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Tuesday July 2nd 2019

Today Cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers this morning then a mix of sun and cloud. High 20. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight A few clouds. Low 8.

I slept restlessly and awoke groggy.  I wonder if maybe I got a touch of food poisoning the other night. The day is dull and I am un-ambitious.  Thus a visit to the Calgary beekeepers forum...

Exciting!

I installed two packages on April 29, and a second brood box mid-June. There are approximately 3 undrawn frames in the second brood box. Should I put a honey super on, or wait a week?

Thanks!

Julia

You have not said how crowded the hive is and how well drawn the bottom box is.

Unless the bees occupy all the frames in your brood boxes or are hanging out, waiting a day or a week could be a wise decision. If you are there daily, watch for signs of a flow. They are unmistakable and that calls for more boxes. Remember though that one box of new foundation adds as much free space (until drawn) as three boxes of drawn comb, so don't get carried away. Bees need to be a bit crowded to draw foundation well.

Although supering now is always a safe plan, especially if your opportunities to visit the hive are limited, unless the bees fully occupy the brood chambers now, by supering too soon you may see stove-piping -- where the middles of the boxes are drawn and filled and the outer frames and outer ends of frames are ignored.

Have you checked how complete the bottom box is? If the bottom box is not fully drawn and occupied, you may want to consider reversing to get it more completely finished, especially the bottom parts of the combs since they tend to be incomplete, and having good well-drawn combs in the brood chambers is important for the coming winter.  Fall is only three months away.

Alternately, if reversing seems too drastic, as John says, shuffle some frames around. Either can be beneficial if done carefully and not right right before a cold snap.

I recall having to wear ski clothes to Stampede, so any kind of weather is possible at this time of year. Watch the forecasts. If hot weather is expected, more drastic manipulations are safe than if cold is expected.

Tomorrow night looks to be the coolest in the coming week and the coming days appear to be relatively cool, so the flow may come on a bit more slowly than expected.

https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/ca/calgary/51.05%2C-114.06
 

The Duolingo app on the phone is quite addictive.  Moreso than Mahjong or even solitaire. Plus it is educational. 

When I first tried Duolingo, I found it too basic and somewhat irrelevant but they have been working on their product.  My only complaint is that it is still too easy and repetitive, but I can choose to take a quiz to scoot up to a higher level.

I'm playing for free so far, so we'll see how it works out  I am not too sure about the game aspect or the social options.  I do find the leader board is a transparent gimmick, but even then it is bit of a prod.  There is a natural urge to compare to others and compete a bit. As they say, when two sailboats can see one another, the race is on. I see I am at the top right now.  I don't know if I like this or not, but Duolingo sends me a notification if anyone passes me.  Silly, I know, but fun -- for a little while at least.

In the meantime, Duolingo is a far better pastime than watching Netflix. I'm still using the Spanish Audible lessons as a sleeping pill and that adds a different perspective. 

Now, I just need to learn to roll Rs.  I watched a number of YouTube videos to no avail.

The day turned brighter and I am feeling more energetic, so even if the day is cool, I'm headed outside for a bit.

Nope.  I fiddled around more with Duolingo on the desktop now.  Now I'm going outside.

Nope.  I got a phone call and I'm teaching a cruise and learn sailing course out of Vancouver July 12-14.

I had already contacted Miguel about postponing my trip to La Paz longer and he said work will not be done by the 7th.  He also says that the temperature in La Paz was 47 Celsius (117 F) today. He is also feeling unwell.  So, I'll switch my flight -- again.

I had spoken with Rick this morning and he says Cassiopeia's steering is still stiff so we may have to dry-dock the boat for a day or two to check that out and I should be there, so this is all falling into place -- sorta.

I went out and looked at the Crossbow trailer, mounted the winch and turned the sailboat over.  The crossbow has been sitting in the weeds for a few years. It is a perfectly good sailboat and I have only a few things to do to get it on the water.  I'll load it next and wash it off.

I loaded the boat onto the trailer and set to pressure washing it.  That took a few hours and the breaker blew every few minutes, slowing the process

I was not quite done at eight when the light began to fade and mosquitoes started to buzz me. I came in for the night. Once inside, I went back to Duolingo and racked up more points and had a total of 1110 points by the end of today.  That is twice what anyone else posted.

Now I'm going to watch video and let the others catch up. This was pretty good day.

Quote of the Day
There is no such thing as freedom of choice
unless there is freedom to refuse.
David Hume

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Wednesday July 3rd 2019

Today Mainly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers early this morning and this afternoon. High 21. UV index 7 or high.
Tonight Cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers early this evening. Rain beginning this evening. Amount 5 to 10 mm. Low 10.

I'm up at 0620 and the day looks promising.

BG is back down to 6.3 and I can't figure it out.  I ate ice cream last evening, followed by spaghetti.  That should have sent it up, but somehow the results are down from recent numbers.  Go figure.

My plan is to work on the Crossbow further and see if I can get the boat ready for the water.  A few fittings were causing issues, so I'll see if I can deal with that.

Friday looks like the best day for the Stampede. Not too hot and less likelihood of rain, and no weekend crowds.  Actually, though, the entire Stampede period looks cool and cloudy. Calgary weather is at right.

I'm starting to believe weather forecasts, especially since they have been working out so accurately lately.

I should compare more closely, though,. I have posted predictions here a few times, so I'll check back and see if they were right about today.

Okay.  Here is the prediction for today (right), posted on the 29th, four days ago, followed by today's prediction posted today.  I'd say there is not a great deal of correspondence between the two except for the highs and lows.

The prediction for tomorrow (left) is more telling.  Five days out (left side), they were really a long way off and anyone planning based on the forecast would have an unpleasant surprise.  The precipitation prediction, while not congruent, is closer than the temperature prediction, however.

I did  few sessions of Duolingo first thing. Breakfast is next.

Miguel wrote and apparently the keel will be much slower arriving in La Paz than predicted.  ETA is now the 20th.  Good thing I changed my plans and decided to go to BC instead.

I went out and started work on the Crossbow. It is looking easier than I had thought. I will have to go to town, though to get some screws, etc.

I came in a while and racked up more Duolingo points. I'm at 1429 now and it is lunch time.

I went back out and turned the boat over again.  I see I have some wood work to do with the centerboard and the rudder and have to get some parts in the city when I am there.

I then came back in as the day was cooling and racked up more points on Duolingo., watched some video and then more Duolingo.

I'm, finding the Duolingo method slow, but it seems fairly thorough. I'll give it a good try along with the Pimsleur Audible recordings.

Quote of the Day
Keep your face always toward the sunshine - and shadows will fall behind you.
Walt Whitman

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Thursday July 4th 2019

Today Showers. Amount 5 to 10 mm. Wind becoming northeast 20 km/h gusting to 40 this morning. High 15. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Showers. Amount 5 mm. Wind north 20 km/h becoming light late this evening. Low 10.

Today is cool and rainy.

I began by playing on Duolingo for a while, then posted on Calgary beekeepers a bit.


I split a hive in early May. The hive superseded last year so the queen is about a year old. We moved the parent hive to a new location about 5 km from our main apiary so it is now somewhat isolated. Upon inspection this past weekend we found two queen cells on the face of two different frames and multiple queen cups with royal jelly and larvae along the bottom of another frame.

The hive is very strong and has both brood boxes full with larvae and capped brood at all stages. Still seeing eggs in multiple frames as well as clean cells vacated by emerging bees. We found the queen with no sign of weakness. Generally looking healthy, active and strong throughout. It also has three medium supers on it with about 50/50 drawn comb and foundation. The top super is partially filled already

If this hive superseded it may be isolated from other drones. If it swarms we could lose out on honey productivity.

Suggestions how best to manage this situation are appreciated.

If you don't want to do anything too fancy, consider the splitting method mentioned at https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/calgarybeekeepers/hdZ-EZFVTmY

Depends on your reasons for keeping bees. If you want more hives, then the above will yield a second hive.

if not, the hives can be recombined anytime after the queens emerge and the swarming impulse has passed and run as a two-queen hive or a single hive.

I should mention to be careful not to damage the queen cells more than necessary. There may be some on the bottoms of frames in the top box.

Swarm cells yield the best queens of the year, so if you or friends need a queen, carefully harvesting a few off the combs is feasible. Why pay $40 when you can have a queen for $0.00?

Q cells must be handled with e utmost care and kept moist and warm, but not hot, transported out of sun, upright (+/-), and placed in the brood area of another hive as soon as practicable.

Looking at this further, if they are going to swarm, the soonest will likely be after lunch on Saturday, judging by the weather. That means you have time to see if they have developed many more cells or are just superseding.

Chances are that if they have already been split once, they won't swarm, but as Winnie the Pooh says, with bees you never can tell. Even mating nucs swarm sometimes.
 

It is noon and I am expecting a call to have tires installed on my van, so I'll be driving to Three Hills this afternoon.  I called and they say they will know in an hour if my tires are on the truck or not.

I've racked up 478 Duolingo points so far today, and 2982 in total. Apparently I have learned 313 words so far.

I received a call and my tires are at the shop. I'll be there at two to have them installed.

I now have 3116 Duolingo points and frankly, I still hardly understand any Spanish. There is a long way to go before I am conversant enough to carry on more than a very basic conversation. Savvy?

I drove to town, got a ride to the IGA to kill time, then drove home on new tires.  I want to save the winter tires with studs for winter, so I now have summer tires for long summer runs.  I have a road trip to La Paz by in the back of my mind.  I know it sounds crazy, but crazy I am.

Years back, a friend of mine, a Czech immigrant who painted houses and hung with the art bunch I did when I was a model at the Tech, drove to Mexico, met a girl there in Guadalajara, married her, and they lived happily in Calgary for many years. 

I'm not planning to do that, but his trip seemed very long and crazy to us at the time.  later, my wife, kids and I have made the trip several times and gone as far as Bahia de los Angeles (left). One time, we led a caravan of windsurfers there. Jon and I talked of doing the Baja500.  Never did, though.

I may just do the trek one more time, but to La Paz (middle and right). I love Mexico.

          

I could go more or less straight down, stopping at Aliso Viejo to see Jon and family or maybe also go by Granville island (GI).  Its a 48-hour drive (in your dreams).  Maybe Jon or one of his kids would go with me the rest of the way?  I'm open to offers for all or any part of this trip.

Going to GI only adds four hours. but then I am driving I5 with all its weirdness instead of I15 with its straight-through simplicity.

The hardest section is in Mexico since night driving is out of the question. Too many cows and goats on the road. And there is talk (always) of banditos.

Anyhow, that was in the back of my mind when I spent $850 on summer tires.  I don't want to drive to México on studded winter tires.  And who says I'll ever do this?

Quote of the Day
Be a free thinker and don't accept everything you hear as truth.
Be critical and evaluate what you believe in.
Aristotle

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Friday July 5th 2019

Today A few showers ending this afternoon then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm late this afternoon. Wind southeast 20 km/h. High 20. UV index 3 or moderate.
Tonight Mainly cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers and risk of a thunderstorm. Fog patches developing overnight. Wind southeast 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low 11.

It is another rainy day. A beekeeper came by for a floor and lid. Other than that, I'm not doing much.

I did watch the beginning of the Stampede parade on TV, but quit when the commercials started.  I'd seen enough anyhow.

I really cannot understand how people can put up with commercials, but it seems most do.

The doe was back nibbling at the brush pile again this morning.

I did more on Duolingo, but am slowing down.  The day is not over yet, though.

I posted some videos from the CDBA field trip to Swalwell, showing the outdoor extracting.

I should mention we were about twenty feet from some strong, foraging hives but the bees showed no interest in the open honey.

I have 3443 Duolingo XP now and 340 words rated strong.

Quote of the Day
There are things which seem incredible to most men who have not studied Mathematics.
Archimedes

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Saturday July 6th 2019

Today A mix of sun and cloud. Wind becoming south 20 km/h near noon. High 25. Humidex 28. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. 60 percent chance of showers late this evening and after midnight with risk of a severe thunderstorm. Wind south 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low 12.

I woke up at 0611 and got up. As consciousness returned, I was aware that I am remembering words I was finding difficult yesterday. I started off with a shower, coffee, an egg white cheese omelet and Duolingo.  I figured if I am on a streak, I should ride it.

The day began dull, but by seven, the sun was shining through the clouds. Predictions are for a warm day. What to do?  So many options.

Continuing my appraisal of the accuracy of forecasts, here is today's Calgary weather.  On the left, the prediction made July 3rd, and on the right, today's. Click or hover to zoom.

My impression is that the predictions are not as accurate as one might wish, especially in regard to the precipitation.   Wind is off, too in magnitude. temperature, too. Given that the prediction given is for typical weather for this time of year and could have been written a year ago with a good probability of similar accuracy, I'd say it is a fail.  People have been fooled by oracles since the beginning of history.

That said, it looks like a good day for Stampede, but it is a weekend and there will be crowds since a decent sort of day is predicted.

Here is the Calgary guesses for the coming week.

I spent the day doing I don't know what.  I was busy, but not much seems to have been accomplished although I did add 355 more Duolingo points.  I'm up to 3776 XP and 413 words.

I watched some Netflix, did more Duolingo, and went to bed.

Quote of the Day
Throughout history, poverty is the normal condition of man.
Advances that permit this norm to be exceeded
— here and there, now and then —
are the work of an extremely small minority, frequently despised,
often condemned, and almost always opposed
by all right-thinking people
 Robert Heinlein

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Sunday July 7th 2019

Today A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers this afternoon with risk of a thunderstorm. Wind becoming northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 near noon. High 22. Humidex 25. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers this evening with risk of a thunderstorm. Wind northwest 20 km/h gusting to 40 becoming light this evening. Low 12.

I woke up early again and had breakfast and had done 50XP by six.

It is another damp, misty morning here in Swalwell.  I'm thinking I am going to do something significant today.  It is too easy to let the time slip by without making progress on projects.

Even if the yard and the Crossbow and other projects are lagging, I am pleased with my Spanish progress. 

I have been nibbling away at learning Spanish for several years now with some progress, but Duolingo seems to be a good system for my learning style and I am making faster progress.  Not bragging, though.  I can get by in una tienda, un restaurante, y en la calle, but no puedo comprender mas.

I've decided I am going to the Stampede today and I'll do some shopping along the way.  For one thing, my kitchen faucet handle corroded off yesterday and I need a new one.  I'll also get some small parts for the Crossbow.

I'm a bit distracted these days.  I forgot I have a flight to SJD leaving around ten, but my phone reminded me two hours ahead, so I quickly called Westjet and changed my flight to a Thursday flight to Vancouver.  I could have lost my $300 flight if the phone had not prompted me.  I should set more reminders.  This reminder was one Google set without my asking me, just from reading my emails.

I drove to Airdrie and I drove south, the day cleared and by the time I got to Airdrie, the sun was out -- a bit.  I stopped at Marks and bought a pair of shorts, then the faucet at Canadian Tire.

From there, I went o Home Depot for some screws.  I was disappointed at the selection, but got what I need for now. From there, I drove to Princess Auto, only to find the store has moved fifteen minutes back in the direction from which I had just come.

I backtracked and got the hitch carrier I wanted and drove to Victoria Park. I had noticed a little occasional grinding in the brakes previously, but now it was worse. Not only that, but parking was $25 and a thunderstorm was gathering. I headed out of town.

I had intended to go back north up the 2 and get gas at Costco, but found I was eastbound on memorial and passed the #2 exit, thinking maybe to park at Marlborough and take the C-train to Stampede Park. I was very undecided.

Once there, I decided to see if a brake shop was open and sure enough just one was but was closing in a half-hour.  He agreed to take a glance even if he could not do any work today, so  so I headed back south to 17th (now called International Avenue) and was told that the driver's rear pad was shot.  I had already guessed, but now I knew.

A Jiffy Lube was next door and I went there next since I figured I need a change. The kids opened the hood, said the oil looked good, but needed a top-up. They added a quart and would not take any money.  This little cluster of businesses has nice staff. Two freebees in a row.  I noticed also that the transmission shop next in the line was one that had gone good work for me super-cheap many years ago.

Since I was in the East End, I called Ken and Wendy, thinking I'd drop by along this easterly route home. I seldom take this route any more.

It turn\s out this is Wendy's birthday, so I stopped to pick up some flowers along the way and discovered a Costco nearby, so I got the cheap gas after all.

I visited for a while, then continued home, arriving a little after six.  I was planning to pull the rear wheel and maybe assemble the hitch rack, but as i stepped out of the van two mosquitoes found me.  I came in and here I am. Tomorrow I have to order parts.

The handle for the new faucet fits the old one, so I simply changed handles-- for now.

Three full days are left before I fly west.

I did 99 points on Duolingo and quit.  I am beat and it is only 7:23.

I watched some Netflix then got back to Duolingo. 

Quote of the Day
You can't change how people treat you or what they say about you.
All you can do is change how you react to it.
Nicky Gumbel

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Monday July 8th 2019

Today Mainly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. Risk of a thunderstorm this afternoon. Fog patches this morning. Wind northwest 20 km/h. High 22. UV index 6 or high.
Tonight Partly cloudy. 30 percent chance of showers early this evening and before morning. Risk of a thunderstorm early this evening. Wind north 20 km/h becoming light this evening. Low 10.

I slept until nine.  I had been up for a while during the night, had breakfast and went back to sleep. I tried Duolingo for a while when I was up, but was making errors and was only made things worse so I quit.

The day is not dull and not bright so far.  Forecasts are for a warm, cloudy day.

I have three days to get things done before going west, so I began by pricing the parts for the van in Airdrie, then checking to see if I have refills for my prescriptions. next came some tidying and catching up on the keyboard.

I tried a round of Duolingo when I was up during the night, but found I was too tired and was making gratuitous errors.  I had quit in the evening for the same reason: I had found I was too weary to do more than watch video.

Errors simply accumulate in my Duolingo record and slow down my actual progress.  Any botched items stack up and keep being coming back to be drilled until I get them correct a set number of times. Ai is smart, but also too dumb to know the difference between typos, oversights and genuine lack of understanding.

If errors occur due to being tired, typos, software errors, or just distraction, I am better not to do exercises because, although exercises completed are awarded points and I appear to be making progress, each error actually sets me back and adds to my workload.  Then the drills bore me and I make more mistakes.

There is a saying: "Practice makes perfect", but actually, only perfect practice makes perfect. Imperfect practice can ingrain imperfect actions.  When practicing, getting things right is important.  Just spending time and 'trying' can be counter-productive.

Next, I'll get going.  Maybe I'll pull the van into the basement where I can work on it regardless of weather or bugs.  Later, when the grass dries, I'll mow.  Once I know what the van needs, I'll have to drive to town.

I may have to give up on getting to the Stampede this year as I can see I am coming up against my Thursday deadline.  Looking ahead, the weather on the coast for my cruise and learn looks good.

The day brightened and I decided to cut grass. I can get the whole place cut in a day.  Only, I didn't.  I hate mowing lawn and came in and answered emails from my clients for the cruise Friday and watched video instead after completing the front. 

I see the ducklings are out.  There must be two families because one mother can't have raised that many.  They share. A doe came and watched me as I stood on the deck, then hopped away.

It's 8:30 and I am bored.  There is too much to do and nothing seems appealing.  Mow the lawn, medicate the bees, fix the brakes.  Uggggh.  Sometimes any of these seems pleasant, but not tonight.

Duolingo is getting less fun.  I've picked all the low hanging fruit and the bugs are becoming obvious.  I did, however complete my daily allotment and trust the glow will return.

Quote of the Day
You can't stop the waves, but you can learn to surf.
Jon Kabat-Zinn

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Tuesday July 9th 2019

Today A mix of sun and cloud. 30 percent chance of showers early this morning and late this afternoon. Risk of a thunderstorm late this afternoon. High 24. Humidex 27. UV index 8 or very high.
Tonight Partly cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers and risk of a thunderstorm. Low 12.

I have two days now to deal with the remaining tasks and to visit Jean if I do. I've decided to skip the Stampede.

I did my daily dose of Duolingo and met my quota.  I am finding this less fun as time goes by.  The voices are muffled no matter what device i use compared to the clarity of Audible's audio. I have not heard from Fen about going to Gull lake.

C has been depressed for a week now and is not walking.

Here is an interesting article that more or less expresses my current appraisal of the global climate situation.

We must remember that climate models are just models.  GIGO. Some fit the facts for a while, some appear to work longer, but as Yogi is said to have proclaimed, "Predictions are difficult, especially about the future".  Things happen. As another said, "The plans of mice and men are aft gang aglay."

HOW THE MEDIA CORRUPTED CLIMATE POLICY

And next is an article that suggests we may have a bigger problem and this is a real worry I have wondered about as long as I have been aware of climate.  being a ham radio guy, I am more aware than most of the solar cycles, long and short. Whereas small temperature increases over the past centuries have been hugely beneficial for humanity on the whole, even a relatively small drop in global temperatures could cause incredible global turmoil, wars and starvation and we have had such episodes in the past.  periods of cooling always result in suffering and turmoil.

WORLD ENTERING A DEEP SOLAR MINIMUM

And here is what appears to me to be the voice of a sensible scientist.  I have found many such articles written by ordinary, non-publicity seeking scientists but the media is always looking for the extreme.  The discovery that the world appears to be on track to continue on the track it has for the past two millennia is not news and does not get much ink (or funding), but any theory and it is only theory, that suggests an impending disaster gets headlines. Fact is, I am more concerned about the certainty of an eventual meteor strike, a major west coast earthquake, or a worldwide volcanic (or nuclear) winter than the continuation of gradual and moderate climate change.

PUTTING CLIMATE CHANGE CLAIMS TO THE TEST

Right about now, we could use some warming here in Central Alberta. It's July and it is cold here and wet. The warming over the past century has lengthened our growing season considerably, and I am told that then increased CO2 is resulting in more robust crop growth.

Fen called and she has to go to Strathmore this evening so she suggested I ride along. I guess Gull Lake is off the table for today.

I went out and burned some trash and called Rick in Sidney. He says the fridge on my boat quit and they also had to change the galley sink faucet.  Odd indeed.  I had exactly the same issues here at home. Fridge and fridge quit.  He also had to do some work on the stove, but I have had nothing of the sort here, though -- yet.

The day continues damp and dull. I did some chores and had a nap mid-afternoon. 

Fen phoned at 4:30. Her electrician is in Didsbury, wiring her house, so she'll be late getting here.  That gives me a chance to do some more chores. The sun has come out.  Work on the van, or cut more grass?  I have an hour.

Fen came by and we drove downtown to Jay's to pick up a bike she had lent.  Ruth and Barb showed up while we were parked there so I spoke to them about doing some gardening for me.

Next, we drove south on Highway 21 to Strathmore where she bought a bench she had found on Kijiji and we had supper at The Roadhouse. 

We drove back to Swalwell, loaded Fen's wooden horse sculpture that Water Valley Al made and which has been in my7 basement for two decades into her truck and she headed home.  I did some Duolingo and went to bed. Current standing: 425 words, 4193 XP.

I drove Highway 21 south daily spring, summer, and fall when we had bees down that way and today I was amazed at how green everything is this year. I have never seen things so green. New cropping methods have eliminated the bare patches of land we used to see, but today, every square mile was bright green, with some yellow from canola starting to bloom.

We have had a lot or rain, but I have been reading about how increased CO2 has caused greening of our planet and I wonder.

Although I have strong doubts about speculation about current and potential future warming of the planet caused by CO2, I have less skepticism about this latter effect.  The most extreme of the warming and sea level rise projections, as trumpeted by the media and understood by the public, are largely based on a series of improvable assumptions, but the the stimulative effects of CO2 on plant growth are well-known, measurable, and quantifiable, plus the greening is documented in real time by NASA satellite observations.

"Satellite observations indicate that between 25 to 50% of the globe’s vegetated regions are greener today than in the 1980s, whereas less than 5% have sustained a browning trend (Zhu et al., 2016)." Ref

Assuming the data series underlying the above is accurately recorded and evaluated honestly, the only speculation is linking the observed greening with increases in atmospheric CO2 because there could be confounding factors, like other gases, climactic pattern changes, and other unknowns.

Of course, there are always some who want to make the greening bad news, because, after all, good news does not sell newspapers... 

 Everything Reminds Me of My Dog.

However, here is an idea I have personally wondered about and of which not seen much serious previous mention: con trails. To my mind it has some credibility.  How much is a good question.

CLIMATE SCIENTISTS, LOOK UP!

I am not saying I believe this any more than any of the other babble, or can vouch for the accuracy of the claims in the article, but I have wondered...

Just for the record I am a skeptic, not a believer. My degree of acceptance and reliance on anything is variable, depending on evidence, apparent biases exhibited, probability, and my mood.   On these climate matters, CO2 greening is about the middle of the scale, but the panic about projected warming and sea rise down attributed to human activity is down around 25 or less.

 I'll write more later. It's four-twenty AM and time to go back to bed.

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Everything you've ever wanted is on the other side of fear.
George Adair

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